Beyond Bulls & Bears

Card image cap
Multi-Asset

Germany Decides: Merkel Victory Has Long-Term Implications for Investors

"In the longer term, the election outcome could determine the pace of European reforms. These reform efforts have been a supporting factor in driving sovereign spreads.” - Matthias Hoppe, senior vice president and portfolio manager, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions

Card image cap
Perspectives

What’s Next for Europe as Merkel Is Re-elected

"We think the level of support for AfD does reflect a protest vote from people who have been unhappy with the direction things have been going in Germany. That could have an influence on Merkel’s approach as she looks past her election victory.” - David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group

Card image cap
Equity

Why Gold-Mining Stocks Could Regain Some Luster

"It seems to us that gold’s inability to hold a rally over the last 18 months has created fatigue with investors. As a result, many investors have felt they should sell into rallies. However, given the overall global macroeconomic backdrop, this view may be creating an interesting opportunity for longer-term investors.” – Steve Land, Franklin Equity Group

Card image cap
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: September

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group examines the potential impact of recent storms on the US economy, Europe’s monetary policy path and whether the global economy’s upturn is sustainable.

Card image cap
Fixed Income

The Fed’s Balancing (Sheet) Act

The Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting played out largely as expected, as US monetary policymakers left the central bank’s benchmark short-term interest rate unchanged. The Fed did clarify when it would begin to unwind its hefty balance sheet, and updated its economic forecasts and interest-rate projections. Chris Molumphy, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group CIO, says the communication from the latest Fed meeting should not rattle the markets much, and that the next interest-rate hike now seems most likely to come in December.

Card image cap
Fixed Income

How the German Election Could Dictate Europe’s Future Direction

“These are optimistic times in Europe, in general. In contrast to what many observers might have expected nine months ago, the political structure in Europe is probably the most stable it’s been in 10 years.” - David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group

Card image cap
Perspectives

Time to Reset Expectations?

Global markets have been relatively calm this summer despite many uncertainties. Geopolitical risks have continued across the globe, and in some areas, looming monetary policy changes also appear likely. A key question for many investors is whether the sleepy summer period of low volatility will give way to a more turbulent autumn. Franklin Templeton’s senior investment leaders offer their perspective on the markets and discuss where they see opportunities and risks ahead.

Card image cap
Equity

Is France on the Cusp of a Thatcher Moment?

French President Emmanuel Macron is preparing to take on France’s powerful unions as he attempts to overhaul the country’s labour code. Here, Philippe Brugere-Trelat, Franklin Mutual Series executive vice president, explains why a Macron victory on this front could open up opportunities for investing in French equities.

Card image cap
Equity

UK Equity: What Dividends Can Tell Us About UK Economic Sentiment

“Special dividends may indicate that companies would rather return money to shareholders than expand. There could be a lack of investment opportunities and potential concerns around Brexit and future UK economic growth.” - Colin Morton, portfolio manager, UK Equity team

Card image cap
Perspectives

Bringing the Human Factor to Index Investing

The emergence of risk-factor investing and the evolution of traditional indexes have opened up fresh opportunities to bring a human touch to what has traditionally been considered the passive exchange-traded fund space. Dr. Chandra Seethamraju, director of systematic modeling, Franklin Templeton Solutions, details what he sees as a “smart” approach to investing in these vehicles.

Card image cap
Fixed Income

Why ECB Tapering Could Prompt a Change in Bond-Market Philosophy

“While some commentators may question whether the ECB should embark on tapering when it still doesn’t see itself hitting its inflation target within its time horizon, I would say that’s exactly what the central bank should do.” David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group

Card image cap
Multi-Asset

What Can Mario Draghi Say to Avoid Upsetting Markets?

“We may already have reached the point where euro strength has tightened monetary conditions sufficiently to change the outlook for growth in corporate earnings and the appropriate path of monetary policy.” Matthias Hoppe, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions