Beyond Bulls & Bears

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Alternatives

Science Fiction to Science Fact: The Rise of the Machines

“Exponential growth in computer processing speeds, advances in big data, open-source software and cloud computing have all converged over the last decade to move AI from the realm of science fiction to science fact.” - Mat Gulley and Ryan Biggs

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Fixed Income

Do Markets Fully Understand the Implications of ECB Tapering?

"The [tapering] decision should set the ECB on the path to monetary policy normalisation, but we don’t expect it to be a quick journey. We expect the eurozone to maintain an accommodative approach and low interest rates for some time to come." - David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group

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Equity

Why Europe’s Earnings Rebound Could Offer a Fillip for Active Value Investors

"We see signs that European companies are beginning to return to corporate earnings growth. We expect to see fundamentals reassert themselves at the heart of investment decisions. And against that background, we believe investors with exposure to European equities via a passive approach shift to active strategies.” – Dylan Ball, Templeton Global Equity Group

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Equity

Why Abe’s Victory Could Help Lift Japanese Stocks

“In our view, Abe’s victory could lead to four more years of pro-growth policies and the possibility of a second term for the very ultra-dovish Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda.” – Templeton Global Equity Group’s Cindy Sweeting and Alan Chua

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Multi-Asset

A Selective Look at Corporate Credit

“In line with a positive assessment of economic fundamentals, we view credit conditions as favourable. Interest rates remain low, corporate balance sheets generally remain strong and debt-service costs appear manageable. Markets still appear receptive to debt offerings.” – Ed Perks, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions

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Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: October

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group discusses the state of the US economy and monetary policy implications, the fallout from the German elections and impact of the Catalonia crisis in Spain.

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Fixed Income

Putting Geopolitical Tensions into Perspective

When world leaders talk, markets react. And with social media becoming mainstream, politicians have a new way of getting their message to the masses. Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group’s John Beck discusses geopolitical tensions, the impact of social media and the broader macroeconomic issues impacting the global fixed income landscape.

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Equity

Why the Indian Equity Market May Need to Swallow a Bitter Pill

A slew of government reforms may have disrupted the Indian stock market in the short term. However, Sukumar Rajah, managing director and chief investment officer, Asian Equity, believes those reforms and a growing Indian middle class could present opportunities for long-term investors.

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Alternatives

Fourth Quarter Hedge-Fund Strategy Outlook: K2 Advisors

“While we cannot predict market tops or bottoms, we can be prudent in how we position portfolios contextually. Perhaps now is the time to consider dialing back risk to some degree. We believe the easy money in this cycle has already been made.” - K2 Advisors

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Alternatives

Are Hedge-Fund Strategies Entering a “Silver Era”?

“We’ve seen evidence that the current market landscape could become a nurturing environment for certain hedge-fund strategies, but we’re only just at the beginning and believe more opportunities could crop up during this silver era." – Brooks Ritchey, K2 Advisors

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Multi-Asset

Lessons Learned from the Global Financial Crisis

“We believe it’s difficult for any investor to time the market. We prefer to take a more disciplined approach to investing by sticking with a set mix of global stocks and bonds, rebalancing from quarter to quarter, regardless of market conditions.” – Tony Coffey, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions

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Perspectives

Does Macron’s EU Reform Agenda Need German Support?

"Without an eager partner in Germany, I think Macron will face challenges implementing his more radical eurozone reforms. Although there is broad support for unification in the wake of last year’s Brexit vote, some of the EU’s Eastern European partners are using all the brakes to prevent unification. I see it as a long road to reach that goal.” – Philippe Brugere-Trelat, Franklin Mutual Series