Beyond Bulls & Bears

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe

Equity markets continued their recovery from December lows last week, thanks to growing hopes of a US/China trade deal, further dovish commentary from the US Federal Reserve, and a positive start to US corporate earnings season. As expected, Brexit dominated the headlines in much of Europe, as the impasse in the UK parliament remains. However, by and large, European equity markets took this in stride.

Why We Think Most “Brexit Panaceas” Are Ill-Thought-Through or Unviable
Equity

Why We Think Most “Brexit Panaceas” Are Ill-Thought-Through or Unviable

“It is symptomatic of the level of debate that the options which tend to get offered as panaceas for Brexit are rarely thought-through or viable.” Sandy Nairn, Chairman of Templeton Global Equity Group and CEO of Edinburgh Partners

Putting Equity-Market Turbulence into Context
Multi-Asset

Putting Equity-Market Turbulence into Context

Many equity investors were no doubt happy to put 2018 in the rear-view mirror. The heightened volatility in the fourth quarter of the year in particular took many investors by surprise—but what is often missing in the discussions about the volatility is that it didn’t stem from a broad deterioration in economic fundamentals, according to Ed Perks, CIO, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions. And, he notes investors had become so used to low levels of volatility that 2018 actually marked a return to “normal levels.”

A Hard Brexit Would Remove Uncertainty for Markets
Fixed Income

A Hard Brexit Would Remove Uncertainty for Markets

"Two and a half years ago, with all the options for a negotiated Brexit on the table, a Hard Brexit seemed to be the worst-case scenario. Now, markets may feel that it’s preferable to bring an end to the uncertainty and accept the short-term pain." David Zahn, Head of European Fixed Income

PODCAST: Making Sense of Recent Market Action
Perspectives

PODCAST: Making Sense of Recent Market Action

After a turbulent end to 2018, early January brought some relief for equity investors, but there certainly are no shortage of uncertainties about the year ahead. Three of our senior investment leaders recently participated in panel discussion about what they see affecting investor sentiment, how they think changes in monetary policy are influencing market action and why they don’t see a US recession this year.  

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe

Equity markets continued their recovery last week as optimism around US/China trade talks and a continued dovish narrative from the US Federal Reserve eased investor nerves. In Europe, macro data continues to be lacklustre and the noise around Brexit is back to fever pitch. But European indices still benefitted from the more positive global perspective.

Mapping the Influence of AI and Machine Learning
Equity

Mapping the Influence of AI and Machine Learning

The evolution of artificial intelligence (AI) has rarely been far from the headlines in recent years. Its influence now reaches into nearly every sector and geography and holds economic and political ramifications that many experts say are on par with the start of the Industrial Revolution in the 18th Century. In a new publication, "Artificial Intelligence: Real Opportunity," our research analysts examine the growing influence of AI across sectors. In this extract, they explain how they evaluate investment potential for AI capabilities.

Why We’re Not Obsessing over the Brexit Effect
Equity

Why We’re Not Obsessing over the Brexit Effect

It’s approaching crunch time for Brexit. The resolution is far from clear, but Colin Morton, vice president and portfolio manager, Franklin UK Equity team, believes the time has come to start looking past the short-term effects of the United Kingdom’s divorce. He suggests investors should focus on factors that might influence their portfolios once the outcome has been decided.