Beyond Bulls & Bears

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Fixed Income

Why ECB Tapering Could Prompt a Change in Bond-Market Philosophy

“While some commentators may question whether the ECB should embark on tapering when it still doesn’t see itself hitting its inflation target within its time horizon, I would say that’s exactly what the central bank should do.” David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group

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Fixed Income

The End of the Eurozone’s QE Era?

”We know the European Central Bank (ECB) likes to flag changes to its monetary policy approach well before they’re implemented. That’s why we expect an imminent announcement from ECB President Mario Draghi that the bank will start winding down its quantitative easing (QE) programme next year.” - David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group

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Equity

Global Economic Perspective: August

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group takes a look at recent US economic data, and increased skepticism among many market participants about whether the Federal Reserve will implement another increase in interest rates before the end of the year.

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Fixed Income

India’s Reform Movement Gains Momentum

Templeton Global Macro CIO Michael Hasenstab recently visited India, and takes a look at some of the reforms he’s most excited about as a global fixed-income investor. He believes India’s future looks bright and that its growth trajectory should remain strong—despite some short-term adjustments.

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Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: July

In this month's Global Economic Perspective, our Fixed Income Group dives into diverging central bank policy and weighs in on whether the European Central Bank is likely to be less accommodative—and what its timing might look like.

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Emerging Markets

How the Asian Financial Crisis Reshaped Emerging Markets

Templeton Global Macro CIO Michael Hasenstab looks at how the response of local policymakers in the two decades since the Asian Financial Crisis has impacted emerging markets, and why he believes some of the most unloved local currency markets today represent exciting opportunities.

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Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: June

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group examines whether inflation may gain momentum in the United Sates, why it’s pleased the European Central Bank has resisted tapering of its quantitative easing program and why investors in all markets need to be cognizant of political risks.

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Perspectives

Uncharted Terrain: Today’s Global Market Drivers

Despite some uncertainties, economic improvements in developed and emerging markets have supported a positive mood across both equity and fixed income this year. However, with some risks on the horizon, many investors are wondering whether the tide may turn. Against this backdrop, Franklin Templeton’s senior investment leaders discuss where they see opportunities and risks ahead.

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Fixed Income

If It’s Groundhog Day, Why Aren’t Investors Learning the Lessons?

The repeated financial market patterns of recent years have reminded some market professionals of the 1993 Bill Murray movie "Groundhog Day." But according to Christopher Molumphy, CIO of Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group, investors may be missing the most important lesson of that movie: take heed of your experiences.

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Fixed Income

Behind the Record-Breaking GCC Debt Issuances

“Despite a surge in debt issuance from the GCC region, its debt market is by no means saturated. We think it’s a region that is under-represented on the international stage and in which most participants are chronically under-invested.” Dino Kronfol, CIO, Franklin Templeton Global Sukuk and MENA Fixed Income Strategies.

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Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: May

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group examines the aftermath of the French election in Europe, signs of a pickup in global growth and whether Japan’s “Abenomics” experiment is working.

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Fixed Income

Trade and Taxes in a World With Borders

“Successful [US] corporate tax reform would go a long way in promoting the incentives for real investment over the long term. Since weak investment has been identified as a potential drag on productivity growth since the global financial crisis, this shift in incentives could have strong and long-lived benefits.” - Michael Hasenstab