Beyond Bulls & Bears

Card image cap

Fixed Income Outlook: Moving From Zero

Our view is that if you think about fairly strong US economic growth in the neighborhood of 3%, combined with a gradual continued improvement in the employment figures, the expectation for inflation to stay at current levels may be somewhat optimistic, at least given historical context.

Card image cap

Strategies for Income-Seeking Investors

We continue to be optimistic that the US economy will continue to experience modest growth and improvement, specifically in employment. Ultimately, that improvement should go hand-in-hand with a gradual normalization in interest rates.

Card image cap

Redefining the Large- Vs Small-Cap Debate

A lot of investors looking for equity values want to try to split the market into large-, mid- and small-cap. I think what's been going on recently is a little bit more complicated than that.

Card image cap

Hasenstab: The Contrarian Case of Hungary

We started investing in Hungary a number of years ago when the market was very bearish on the fundamental outlook for the country. We saw long-term potential even though we recognized that in the short term Hungary faced a difficult period.

Card image cap

Global Economic Perspective: June

With 10-year US Treasury yields dropping below 2.5% at one point during early June in spite of improving forward economic indicators, the US bond market has continued to send out confusing signals, in our view.

Card image cap

On-the-Ground Perspective in Thailand

For most Thais and Thailand-watchers (including us), military coups in the country have almost become a way of life.

Card image cap

Actively Managing for a Less-Correlated World

I think there has recently been a movement away from just a one-decision trade, where investors are simply reacting to moments of panic or euphoria, into a place where it is more possible to make rational decisions based on fundamentals.

Card image cap

ECB Leaves the Door Open for Further Action

I like the fact that Draghi has not tried to pin the ECB’s success all on one particular strategy.

Card image cap

The Growing Potential of GCC Bonds

When considering the scale of development underway in the GCC and contrasting that against the range of issues facing many developed and emerging markets, we feel enthusiastic about the future of the region’s bond markets.

Card image cap

Global Economic Perspective: May

Card image cap

India’s Landmark Election: A New Direction

As investors in India’s equity markets, we hope the recent election will lead to the creation of a stable government that is able to overcome what we regard as the prevailing political paralysis and push through major reforms awaiting government approval.

Card image cap

Pacific Powers: Australia and Japan

Australia’s economy and market, in some respects, appear as if they have been on a treadmill without an off switch.