Beyond Bulls & Bears

Finding Value among Stretched US Valuations, Market Dislocations
Equity

Finding Value among Stretched US Valuations, Market Dislocations

“Of all the different macroeconomic and political factors that have been on investors’ minds over the last few months, we think interest rates are likely to be the most important. As we continue to see central banks reduce quantitative easing and move toward interest-rate normalisation in the major regions of the world, we are going to continue to focus on the dislocations that this may cause for currencies, equity markets and valuations.” - Templeton Global Equity Group

Fed Full Steam Ahead
Fixed Income

Fed Full Steam Ahead

The US Federal Reserve raised its benchmark short-term interest rate for the third time this year, which was no surprise to market participants. Chris Molumphy, chief investment officer, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group, offers his take on the Fed’s “normalisation” path in light of what he sees as an overall positive US economic backdrop.

ECB Meeting: Fresh Clarity, But Let’s Not Get Ahead of Ourselves
Fixed Income

ECB Meeting: Fresh Clarity, But Let’s Not Get Ahead of Ourselves

David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s head of European Fixed Income, gives his take on the ECB meeting and explains why he’s still not expecting a eurozone interest-rate hike before 2020.

Fed Gives US Interest Rates Another Bump in June
Fixed Income

Fed Gives US Interest Rates Another Bump in June

The US Federal Reserve continued its tightening path at its June policy meeting, raising its benchmark interest rate for the second time this year and seventh time since December 2015. Chris Molumphy, chief investment officer, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group, offers us a snapshot of the US monetary policy landscape in the wake of the meeting.

Talking Trade Tensions, Inflation and Volatility
Multi-Asset

Talking Trade Tensions, Inflation and Volatility

Global growth has been accelerating, but there are a few potential headwinds that could cause it to stall. Three of our senior investment leaders—Ed Perks, Chris Molumphy and Stephen Dover—recently participated in a panel discussion on the potential impact of trade tensions, inflation and other issues on their radar.

US 10-Year Treasury Crosses 3%: Much Ado About Nothing?
Fixed Income

US 10-Year Treasury Crosses 3%: Much Ado About Nothing?

On April 24, the US 10-year Treasury yield crossed the 3% threshold for the first time in four years, prompting much discussion about the potential implications for the US economy. But to reference a famous Shakespeare play, is all the media focus much ado about nothing? Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group’s Michael Materasso says investors shouldn’t fret too much about the number.

Will 2018 be a Banner Year for US Bank Stocks?
Equity

Will 2018 be a Banner Year for US Bank Stocks?

“In our view, select large-capitalisation US banks are likely to benefit from a growing US economy, higher interest rates and a less-restrictive regulatory environment. As a result, we think they have room to increase dividends and stock buybacks as earnings improve and capital is freed up.” – Matt Quinlan, Franklin Equity Group

Fed Remains in Tightening Mode in March
Fixed Income

Fed Remains in Tightening Mode in March

The US Federal Reserve remained in tightening mode at its March monetary policy meeting, raising its benchmark interest rate for the sixth time since December 2015. Chris Molumphy, chief investment officer, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group, offers his take on the market implications—and why he feels it’s more important for investors to focus on the US economy’s (healthy) fundamentals rather than the exact number of rate increases this year.

1-on-1 With Michael Hasenstab: Market Changes and Challenges
Fixed Income

1-on-1 With Michael Hasenstab: Market Changes and Challenges

Take an around-the-world market tour with Templeton Global Macro CIO Michael Hasenstab in our latest “Talking Markets” podcast. Hasenstab shares his thoughts on navigating today’s market challenges. He covers recent market volatility, inflationary threats in the United States, upcoming elections in Latin America, potential “fault lines” in Europe and credit risk in China.

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe

We’ve seen some dramatic headlines in the wake of last Friday's US equity selloff, but it’s important to remember that equities have had an incredible run over the past year. In relative terms, we consider this pullback to be reasonably small. - Franklin Templeton European Trading Desk Team

What Might Be More Important than Brexit to UK Equities Is…
Equity

What Might Be More Important than Brexit to UK Equities Is…

“We think there are reasons to believe Brexit should represent just a blip on the country’s long-term economic prospects. Although it may feel like a major issue right now, Brexit likely won’t define the United Kingdom in 5-10 years.” - Colin Morton, UK Equity team.

The Fed’s Balancing (Sheet) Act
Fixed Income

The Fed’s Balancing (Sheet) Act

The Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting played out largely as expected, as US monetary policymakers left the central bank’s benchmark short-term interest rate unchanged. The Fed did clarify when it would begin to unwind its hefty balance sheet, and updated its economic forecasts and interest-rate projections. Chris Molumphy, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group CIO, says the communication from the latest Fed meeting should not rattle the markets much, and that the next interest-rate hike now seems most likely to come in December.