Beyond Bulls & Bears

Staying Nimble Amid an Uncertain Outlook
Perspectives

Staying Nimble Amid an Uncertain Outlook

Bouts of volatility hit markets across the globe in the third quarter of 2019 amid continued uncertainties about global growth and trade. Central banks took notice, with the US Federal Reserve easing interest rates for the first time in more than a decade and the European Central Bank also cutting rates and reintroducing quantitative easing. Against this backdrop, our senior investment leaders discuss why they do not see a recession in the near term, but are taking a cautious and nimble approach.

US Market Volatility and Sleepless Summertime Nights
Equity

US Market Volatility and Sleepless Summertime Nights

“In our view, the biggest growth driver for both the US and global economy is the digital transformation that is taking place at all levels—individual, enterprise and government.” – Grant Bowers, Franklin Equity Group

Trade Tensions Flare: Where Do We Go from Here?
Multi-Asset

Trade Tensions Flare: Where Do We Go from Here?

Market volatility has been on the rise as US-China trade tensions continue to flare and recent central bank activity has created more questions than answers. As such, many investors have been on edge. Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions CIO Ed Perks, and Gene Podkaminer, Head of Multi-Asset Research Strategies, present the team’s latest thoughts on where the global economy is headed—and how investors should think about risk today. They say the persistent uncertainty calls for a cautious and nimble stance.

Analysing Market Volatility from Escalating Trade Tensions
Equity

Analysing Market Volatility from Escalating Trade Tensions

As one might imagine in light of recent news, trade was a big topic of discussion at Franklin Templeton’s 2019 Global Investor Forum in San Francisco this week. Our panelists addressed how the uncertainty is impacting the markets today—particularly emerging markets.

Is Your Portfolio Prepared for a Potential Wildfire?
Multi-Asset

Is Your Portfolio Prepared for a Potential Wildfire?

“In our view, as overall global growth slows, uncertainty around predictions of forward interest rates, inflation and corporate earnings may increase.” - Wylie Tollette, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions

The Case for Active Gilts Management as Volatility Returns
Fixed Income

The Case for Active Gilts Management as Volatility Returns

After several years of relatively stable conditions, the slide in equities at the end of last year and the subsequent recovery in the first quarter of 2019 were a stark reminder not to become complacent. Read more on why Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group’s David Zahn believes an active approach to gilts management makes sense now.

PODCAST: Market Resilience: Strength in Numbers
Perspectives

PODCAST: Market Resilience: Strength in Numbers

Concerns about where the financial markets are heading are at the forefront of many investors’ minds. The risks of a US or global recession this year continue to persist amid slowing global growth, trade tensions and worries about potential geopolitical shocks. Our senior investment leaders see a different story unfolding. In this roundtable discussion, they outline why they think some market observers are misguided and where they see opportunities today.

This Isn’t the Way Stock Market Cycles Typically End
Equity

This Isn’t the Way Stock Market Cycles Typically End

Dylan Ball, head of European Equity Strategies, Templeton Global Equity Group, explains why he thinks the current stock market cycle still has some way to run in Europe and why he expects to see an uptick in cross-border merger and acquisition activity.

Volatile Markets: Are High-Frequency Traders to Blame?
Equity

Volatile Markets: Are High-Frequency Traders to Blame?

“In our view, high-frequency trading plays a role in market meltdowns or melt-ups, which could be exacerbated when stocks or markets have low levels of liquidity.” – Stephen Dover, Head of Equities

The Real Risk in Today’s Global Markets
Perspectives

The Real Risk in Today’s Global Markets

While some observers might worry that the current global economic cycle is ending, Templeton Global Macro CIO Michael Hasenstab characterises the slowing growth we are experiencing as a cyclical slowdown, not the end of the cycle. He is more concerned with the political vulnerabilities he’s seeing in the global economy today, and says the world’s increasing fragmentation due to populist policies is a major concern.

K2 Advisors: It’s the End of the Fed’s World as We Know It
Alternatives

K2 Advisors: It’s the End of the Fed’s World as We Know It

Market volatility returned with a vengeance towards the end of 2018, with numerous uncertainties invoking memories of the Great Recession. K2 Advisors’ Robert Christian and Brooks Ritchey believe the most recent turmoil has been a function of some asset-price distortions stemming from central bank actions. They explain what it all means for investors—and for hedge-fund vehicles in particular.

US Government Shutdown Paused for Now: Assessing the Economic Impact
Equity

US Government Shutdown Paused for Now: Assessing the Economic Impact

The longest-ever US government shutdown has finally ended—at least temporarily—while negotiations continue over funding of a US-Mexico border wall. While the government will be reopened at least until February 15, the economic implications of the shutdown and the potential for more disruption ahead has become a source of concern to many global investors. Stephen Dover, Head of Equities for Franklin Templeton, outlines some considerations.