Beyond Bulls & Bears

PODCAST: Market Resilience: Strength in Numbers
Perspectives

PODCAST: Market Resilience: Strength in Numbers

Concerns about where the financial markets are heading are at the forefront of many investors’ minds. The risks of a US or global recession this year continue to persist amid slowing global growth, trade tensions and worries about potential geopolitical shocks. Our senior investment leaders see a different story unfolding. In this roundtable discussion, they outline why they think some market observers are misguided and where they see opportunities today.

This Isn’t the Way Stock Market Cycles Typically End
Equity

This Isn’t the Way Stock Market Cycles Typically End

Dylan Ball, head of European Equity Strategies, Templeton Global Equity Group, explains why he thinks the current stock market cycle still has some way to run in Europe and why he expects to see an uptick in cross-border merger and acquisition activity.

Volatile Markets: Are High-Frequency Traders to Blame?
Equity

Volatile Markets: Are High-Frequency Traders to Blame?

“In our view, high-frequency trading plays a role in market meltdowns or melt-ups, which could be exacerbated when stocks or markets have low levels of liquidity.” – Stephen Dover, Head of Equities

The Real Risk in Today’s Global Markets
Perspectives

The Real Risk in Today’s Global Markets

While some observers might worry that the current global economic cycle is ending, Templeton Global Macro CIO Michael Hasenstab characterises the slowing growth we are experiencing as a cyclical slowdown, not the end of the cycle. He is more concerned with the political vulnerabilities he’s seeing in the global economy today, and says the world’s increasing fragmentation due to populist policies is a major concern.

K2 Advisors: It’s the End of the Fed’s World as We Know It
Alternatives

K2 Advisors: It’s the End of the Fed’s World as We Know It

Market volatility returned with a vengeance towards the end of 2018, with numerous uncertainties invoking memories of the Great Recession. K2 Advisors’ Robert Christian and Brooks Ritchey believe the most recent turmoil has been a function of some asset-price distortions stemming from central bank actions. They explain what it all means for investors—and for hedge-fund vehicles in particular.

US Government Shutdown Paused for Now: Assessing the Economic Impact
Equity

US Government Shutdown Paused for Now: Assessing the Economic Impact

The longest-ever US government shutdown has finally ended—at least temporarily—while negotiations continue over funding of a US-Mexico border wall. While the government will be reopened at least until February 15, the economic implications of the shutdown and the potential for more disruption ahead has become a source of concern to many global investors. Stephen Dover, Head of Equities for Franklin Templeton, outlines some considerations.

Putting Equity-Market Turbulence into Context
Multi-Asset

Putting Equity-Market Turbulence into Context

Many equity investors were no doubt happy to put 2018 in the rear-view mirror. The heightened volatility in the fourth quarter of the year in particular took many investors by surprise—but what is often missing in the discussions about the volatility is that it didn’t stem from a broad deterioration in economic fundamentals, according to Ed Perks, CIO, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions. And, he notes investors had become so used to low levels of volatility that 2018 actually marked a return to “normal levels.”

PODCAST: Making Sense of Recent Market Action
Perspectives

PODCAST: Making Sense of Recent Market Action

After a turbulent end to 2018, early January brought some relief for equity investors, but there certainly are no shortage of uncertainties about the year ahead. Three of our senior investment leaders recently participated in panel discussion about what they see affecting investor sentiment, how they think changes in monetary policy are influencing market action and why they don’t see a US recession this year.  

PODCAST: Market Volatility: The Factors, Risks and Opportunities
Multi-Asset

PODCAST: Market Volatility: The Factors, Risks and Opportunities

Our emotional reactions can influence our behaviour in many ways—including investing. When markets face heightened volatility, many investors start to panic in fear—sometimes to the detriment of their long-term financial goals. Wylie Tollette, head of Client Investment Solutions, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions, looks at the factors driving the latest bout of market volatility, including the impact of short-term investor behaviour. He says times of volatility present opportunities to rebalance one’s portfolio, but adds investors shouldn’t wait for the market to tumble to start thinking about risk management.

What We Think is Causing Recent Equity Market Volatility
Equity

What We Think is Causing Recent Equity Market Volatility

In the past few months, equity investors have had to cope with something they hadn’t experienced for a while—volatility. While the ups and downs can be unsettling, volatility can also create opportunities for long-term investors. Stephen Dover, our head of Equities, takes a look at where he sees them emerging and breaks down the root causes of the recent market turmoil.

Risk On, Risk Off, or Risk Uncertain?
Alternatives

Risk On, Risk Off, or Risk Uncertain?

While big market swings can be unsettling to many investors, there are a number of alternative investment strategies that aim to turn volatility into opportunity, according to K2 Advisors’ Brooks Ritchey and Robert Christian. They outline some of the market challenges they see ahead, and why they believe certain hedge strategies could find fertile ground.

Distortion, Divergence and Diversification: 2019 Global Investment Outlook
Perspectives

Distortion, Divergence and Diversification: 2019 Global Investment Outlook

Volatility has plagued equity markets globally in 2018—most notably emerging markets and US equity markets. As the US economic expansion officially crossed the nine-year mark in 2018, many investors started to wonder when the cycle would change—and what the catalyst might be. Our senior investment leaders see plenty of reasons to be optimistic about the year ahead, but recognise investment opportunities may be more divergent, with some previously overlooked countries or asset classes potentially taking the spotlight.