Beyond Bulls & Bears

A View from Canada on the New USMCA
Multi-Asset

A View from Canada on the New USMCA

“In our view, the new North American trade deal is neither especially good nor bad for Canada and Mexico. But the fact that it clears away some of the uncertainties is positive, in our eyes. This new deal may support capital expenditure and remove a headwind from future growth.” – Stephen Lingard, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions

Hasenstab: How AMLO and Mexico Can Avoid a Populist Fate
Fixed Income

Hasenstab: How AMLO and Mexico Can Avoid a Populist Fate

“While Mexico’s new president, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, has shown some populist impulses, such as expanding pension benefits or broadly handing out scholarships, his team appears aware of the pitfalls that often await governments that disrupt confidence in their country’s financial markets.” - Michael Hasenstab

Assessing the Impact of US Metal Tariffs
Multi-Asset

Assessing the Impact of US Metal Tariffs

“If a trade war develops and slows global growth in an environment of higher inflation and higher budget deficits, we think most global stock markets are likely to fall in tandem.” – Stephen Lingard, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions

How Safe Is NAFTA?
Multi-Asset

How Safe Is NAFTA?

“With trade skirmishes opening up on multiple fronts, we think the United States may feel increased pressure to get a NAFTA deal done ahead of this summer. That’s when the Mexican presidential election and US mid-term election campaigning will be in full swing. Otherwise, the United States risks attempting to win a trade war on multiple fronts, which tends to end badly if history is any guide.” – Stephen Lingard, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions