Beyond Bulls & Bears

Fourth Quarter Hedge-Fund Strategy Outlook: K2 Advisors
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Fourth Quarter Hedge-Fund Strategy Outlook: K2 Advisors

In their fourth-quarter (Q4) 2018 outlook, K2 Advisors’ Research and Portfolio Construction teams take a deeper look at alpha, and why they feel it’s misunderstood. They believe offering these insights will help investors better understand the rationale for owning retail mutual funds that invest in hedge strategies.

Second Quarter Hedge-Fund Strategy Outlook: K2 Advisors
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Second Quarter Hedge-Fund Strategy Outlook: K2 Advisors

In their second-quarter (Q2) 2018 outlook, K2 Advisors’ Research and Portfolio Construction teams share their views on why investors should not fear the return of market volatility—and why it may unlock opportunities for active managers.

First Quarter Hedge-Fund Strategy Outlook: K2 Advisors
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First Quarter Hedge-Fund Strategy Outlook: K2 Advisors

“The bottom line is that we believe the massive tide of low-cost money that lifted all boats and allowed for carefree sailing is receding. Investors who are not prepared for this change may be exposed to significant risks.” - K2 Advisors

Fourth Quarter Hedge-Fund Strategy Outlook: K2 Advisors
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Fourth Quarter Hedge-Fund Strategy Outlook: K2 Advisors

“While we cannot predict market tops or bottoms, we can be prudent in how we position portfolios contextually. Perhaps now is the time to consider dialing back risk to some degree. We believe the easy money in this cycle has already been made.” - K2 Advisors

Third Quarter Hedge-Fund Strategy Outlook: K2 Advisors
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Third Quarter Hedge-Fund Strategy Outlook: K2 Advisors

K2 Advisors seeks to add value through active portfolio management, tactical allocation and diversification across four main hedge strategies: long short equity, relative value, global macro and event driven. In their third-quarter (Q3) 2017 outlook, K2 Advisors’ Research and Portfolio Construction teams share the key market events they have an eye on, along with the select strategies that represent their “top convictions.”

First-Quarter Hedge-Fund Strategy Outlook: K2 Advisors
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First-Quarter Hedge-Fund Strategy Outlook: K2 Advisors

Since the US election, markets have confidently placed their bets squarely on hope, and essentially little else. Is this level of hope (optimism) rational? It certainly seems like a lot to expect. But truth is indeed often stranger than fiction, and even the most gifted of storytellers would likely never imagine a more fantastic yarn than the reality of this election cycle.

Fourth-Quarter Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook: K2 Advisors
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Fourth-Quarter Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook: K2 Advisors

We expect overall volatility to increase across the global markets, and often emerging markets are more volatile than their developed counterparts. With this volatility we anticipate the arrival of opportunity, and we believe it will likely be manifest across all three major asset classes—equity, fixed income and currency.

Third-Quarter Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook: K2 Advisors
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Third-Quarter Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook: K2 Advisors

The recent recovery in commodity prices has relieved some of the emerging economies’ economic pressures that had been evident during 2015. As a result, valuations of select emerging-country equity and sovereign bond investments remain attractive relative to those available in developed markets.