Beyond Bulls & Bears

A Global Macro Perspective: Populism, Trade and Emerging-Market Volatility
Fixed Income

A Global Macro Perspective: Populism, Trade and Emerging-Market Volatility

Templeton Global Macro Chief Investment Officer Dr. Michael Hasenstab and Vice President and Deputy Director of Research, Dr. Calvin Ho, discuss emerging-market turbulence, the persistent concerns around trade policy and divergent growth trends in the developed world.

Hasenstab: Focus on Fundamentals in US, Emerging Markets
Fixed Income

Hasenstab: Focus on Fundamentals in US, Emerging Markets

“If you have a three-month time horizon, EM investing is very difficult. If you have a couple-year horizon, you can exploit these panic sell-offs that are not fundamental in nature.” - Michael Hasenstab

Hasenstab: How AMLO and Mexico Can Avoid a Populist Fate
Fixed Income

Hasenstab: How AMLO and Mexico Can Avoid a Populist Fate

“While Mexico’s new president, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, has shown some populist impulses, such as expanding pension benefits or broadly handing out scholarships, his team appears aware of the pitfalls that often await governments that disrupt confidence in their country’s financial markets.” - Michael Hasenstab

Michael Hasenstab: An Update on our Global Markets Resilience Scores
Fixed Income

Michael Hasenstab: An Update on our Global Markets Resilience Scores

Templeton Global Macro makes a compelling case that finding attractive opportunities in emerging markets lies in distinguishing the more resilient countries from the rest. Here, CIO Michael Hasenstab provides an update of the team’s proprietary “Local Markets Resiliency Index” and highlights the scores of seven different countries—Argentina, Brazil, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Malaysia and South Africa.

1-on-1 With Michael Hasenstab: Market Changes and Challenges
Fixed Income

1-on-1 With Michael Hasenstab: Market Changes and Challenges

Take an around-the-world market tour with Templeton Global Macro CIO Michael Hasenstab in our latest “Talking Markets” podcast. Hasenstab shares his thoughts on navigating today’s market challenges. He covers recent market volatility, inflationary threats in the United States, upcoming elections in Latin America, potential “fault lines” in Europe and credit risk in China.

India’s Reform Movement Gains Momentum
Fixed Income

India’s Reform Movement Gains Momentum

Templeton Global Macro CIO Michael Hasenstab recently visited India, and takes a look at some of the reforms he’s most excited about as a global fixed-income investor. He believes India’s future looks bright and that its growth trajectory should remain strong—despite some short-term adjustments.

How the Asian Financial Crisis Reshaped Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets

How the Asian Financial Crisis Reshaped Emerging Markets

Templeton Global Macro CIO Michael Hasenstab looks at how the response of local policymakers in the two decades since the Asian Financial Crisis has impacted emerging markets, and why he believes some of the most unloved local currency markets today represent exciting opportunities.

Uncharted Terrain: Today’s Global Market Drivers
Perspectives

Uncharted Terrain: Today’s Global Market Drivers

Despite some uncertainties, economic improvements in developed and emerging markets have supported a positive mood across both equity and fixed income this year. However, with some risks on the horizon, many investors are wondering whether the tide may turn. Against this backdrop, Franklin Templeton’s senior investment leaders discuss where they see opportunities and risks ahead.

Trade and Taxes in a World With Borders
Fixed Income

Trade and Taxes in a World With Borders

“Successful [US] corporate tax reform would go a long way in promoting the incentives for real investment over the long term. Since weak investment has been identified as a potential drag on productivity growth since the global financial crisis, this shift in incentives could have strong and long-lived benefits.” - Michael Hasenstab

Latin America: The Rise and Fall of Populism
Fixed Income

Latin America: The Rise and Fall of Populism

Sharp criticism of the North American Free Trade Agreement and of immigration from Mexico signaled a temptation for the United States to turn its back on Latin America. This would be damaging to the US economy, and especially ironic at a time when key Latin American economies are moving in the opposite direction, turning away from populist economic policies.

Hasenstab: US Election Rhetoric vs. Realities
Fixed Income

Hasenstab: US Election Rhetoric vs. Realities

I think we learned a lot from the post-US election market reaction. We learned which markets are vulnerable, which were oversold, and by and large, see some of these market dislocations as an opportunity if we can sift through them.

Snapshot View: Fed Remains on Hold
Fixed Income

Snapshot View: Fed Remains on Hold

If the United States is actually experiencing a 'new normal' where growth remains lower long term, then the Fed risks fueling real or asset-price inflation by being too lax with monetary policy going forward.