Beyond Bulls & Bears

Global Economic Perspective: July
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: July

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group examines the potential market impact of ongoing trade issues. Could it derail global growth?

Michael Hasenstab: An Update on our Global Markets Resilience Scores
Fixed Income

Michael Hasenstab: An Update on our Global Markets Resilience Scores

Templeton Global Macro makes a compelling case that finding attractive opportunities in emerging markets lies in distinguishing the more resilient countries from the rest. Here, CIO Michael Hasenstab provides an update of the team’s proprietary “Local Markets Resiliency Index” and highlights the scores of seven different countries—Argentina, Brazil, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Malaysia and South Africa.

Global Economic Perspective: June
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: June

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, our Fixed Income Group sees the broad outlook for the global economy as remaining positive but expects more patches of financial market volatility ahead.

Global Economic Perspective: May
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: May

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, our Fixed Income Group opines on rising energy prices, US Treasury yields, emerging-market currency pressures and global economic growth.

Global Economic Perspective: April
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: April

“The extent to which the global economy’s upturn is threatened by the uncertainty over trade policy is clearly the main issue preoccupying many investors. Our view is that market sentiment often swings to extremes in these circumstances, running well ahead of actual events, and the risk of a major disruption to global trade remains low.” - Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group

What the Italian Election Tells Us About Populism in Europe
Fixed Income

What the Italian Election Tells Us About Populism in Europe

David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s head of European Fixed Income, remains optimistic on Italy’s long-term fundamentals, but believes the political trajectory of the country is a concern.

Environmental, Social and Governance Factors in Global Macro Investing
Fixed Income

Environmental, Social and Governance Factors in Global Macro Investing

“Strong governance institutions, social cohesion and sustainable environmental policies support economic growth and higher income levels. At the same time, as countries become richer they can invest more in state-of-the-art infrastructure, assign greater priority to environmental sustainability, and develop a well-educated middle class that demands better social and political institutions.” - Michael Hasenstab, CIO, Templeton Global Macro

Italian Election Result: Political Uncertainty is Business as Usual for Italy
Fixed Income

Italian Election Result: Political Uncertainty is Business as Usual for Italy

No outright winner emerged from the Italian general election, but as David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s head of European Fixed Income, explains that situation is normal for Italy. He expects a muted response from European bond markets but cautions there may be consequences down the road if the authorities fail to take the need for reform seriously.

Global Economic Perspective: February
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: February

“The opening months of 2018 have seen volatility return to global financial markets, but we think it is important to stress US economic fundamentals have remained broadly the same. After an unusually long period of calm in many markets, the reappearance of volatility at some point seemed likely, even if the speed of market gyrations has been unsettling for investors.” - Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group

1-on-1 With Michael Hasenstab: Market Changes and Challenges
Fixed Income

1-on-1 With Michael Hasenstab: Market Changes and Challenges

Take an around-the-world market tour with Templeton Global Macro CIO Michael Hasenstab in our latest “Talking Markets” podcast. Hasenstab shares his thoughts on navigating today’s market challenges. He covers recent market volatility, inflationary threats in the United States, upcoming elections in Latin America, potential “fault lines” in Europe and credit risk in China.

The Underappreciated Story: How Brexit Threatens to Shift the Balance of Power in the EU
Fixed Income

The Underappreciated Story: How Brexit Threatens to Shift the Balance of Power in the EU

“We think the United Kingdom’s departure from the EU may start to show up differences of attitude among different factions within the trading bloc. And, it may bring about a switch in the balance of power in the European Parliament.” David Zahn, Head of European Fixed Income.

Global Economic Perspective: January
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: January

"Just as attempts to use historical precedents to predict the length and durability of the US economic cycle are undermined by the idiosyncratic nature of its recovery since the global financial crisis, much the same argument can be made about the wider global economy.” - Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group