Beyond Bulls & Bears

Have We Reached Maximum Brexit Pessimism Yet?
Equity

Have We Reached Maximum Brexit Pessimism Yet?

Newspaper headlines might suggest there’s little reason to cheer for UK equity investors right now. However, Colin Morton, vice president and portfolio manager, Franklin UK Equity team, believes the current despondent sentiment that pervades the United Kingdom could present some interesting opportunities to pick up a bargain. Just don’t ask him about catalysts for improvement.

Why We Think Most “Brexit Panaceas” Are Ill-Thought-Through or Unviable
Equity

Why We Think Most “Brexit Panaceas” Are Ill-Thought-Through or Unviable

“It is symptomatic of the level of debate that the options which tend to get offered as panaceas for Brexit are rarely thought-through or viable.” Sandy Nairn, Chairman of Templeton Global Equity Group and CEO of Edinburgh Partners

A Hard Brexit Would Remove Uncertainty for Markets
Fixed Income

A Hard Brexit Would Remove Uncertainty for Markets

"Two and a half years ago, with all the options for a negotiated Brexit on the table, a Hard Brexit seemed to be the worst-case scenario. Now, markets may feel that it’s preferable to bring an end to the uncertainty and accept the short-term pain." David Zahn, Head of European Fixed Income

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe

Equity markets continued their recovery last week as optimism around US/China trade talks and a continued dovish narrative from the US Federal Reserve eased investor nerves. In Europe, macro data continues to be lacklustre and the noise around Brexit is back to fever pitch. But European indices still benefitted from the more positive global perspective.

Why We’re Not Obsessing over the Brexit Effect
Equity

Why We’re Not Obsessing over the Brexit Effect

It’s approaching crunch time for Brexit. The resolution is far from clear, but Colin Morton, vice president and portfolio manager, Franklin UK Equity team, believes the time has come to start looking past the short-term effects of the United Kingdom’s divorce. He suggests investors should focus on factors that might influence their portfolios once the outcome has been decided.

Is it Time for Small-Cap Stocks to Shine?
Equity

Is it Time for Small-Cap Stocks to Shine?

“In our view, US small-cap stocks are currently among the most expensive in the world, especially in the technology and health care sectors. With valuations looking expensive to us in the United States amid rising interest rates, we aren’t finding as many compelling opportunities as we are in Europe and Asia outside of Japan.” - Franklin Equity Group’s Ed Lugo

Does a Brexit Resolution Require a New Referendum or a General Election?
Equity

Does a Brexit Resolution Require a New Referendum or a General Election?

Political infighting abounds in the United Kingdom as the clock ticks relentlessly towards the March 29 Brexit date. Amid entrenched positions on all sides, Sandy Nairn, Chairman of Templeton Global Equity Group and CEO of Edinburgh Partners, argues that only a fresh referendum or a general election can break the Brexit deadlock and examines some of the implications for investors.

Theresa May Holds on, but What Does This Mean for Investors?
Fixed Income

Theresa May Holds on, but What Does This Mean for Investors?

Theresa May has survived a leadership challenge called by Eurosceptic members of her own party and will continue to lead the United Kingdom as it heads towards Brexit. But David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group’s head of European Fixed Income, warns May’s troubles are not over yet. He predicts further volatility ahead for financial markets, but argues there may be opportunities for shrewd active managers.

Back from the Road Again: Five Things We Learnt from Our European Roadshow
Fixed Income

Back from the Road Again: Five Things We Learnt from Our European Roadshow

On a recent European roadshow, David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s head of European Fixed Income, had the chance to meet investors from Germany, France, Italy and Spain. In this article, he sets out some of his takeaway messages from the trip, including a couple of surprises.

Are We Nearly There Yet?: Revisiting the Politics and Processes of Brexit
Equity

Are We Nearly There Yet?: Revisiting the Politics and Processes of Brexit

“We believe it is likely over the coming months risk premiums will rise and potentially spur investment in stocks which have already been largely discounted for a worst-possible Brexit outcome, including the financial services and construction sectors.” - Sandy Nairn, Chairman, Templeton Global Equity Group

Theresa May’s Brexit Steeplechase Has Only Just Begun: An Investor’s Perspective
Alternatives

Theresa May’s Brexit Steeplechase Has Only Just Begun: An Investor’s Perspective

UK Prime Minister Theresa May seemed to have cleared the first hurdle in her bid to secure a soft Brexit. Her Cabinet initially backed the withdrawal deal UK and European Union negotiators have agreed to. But subsequently a number of cabinet members resigned. David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s head of European Fixed Income, warns her most difficult challenge now lies ahead. And he believes there remain plenty of obstacles in her path, with profound implications for investors.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

“If the United Kingdom fails to reach a deal or pass it through Parliament, the prospect of a fresh general election is a very real likelihood, in our view, bringing with it much uncertainty.” Franklin Templeton European Trading Desk team