Beyond Bulls & Bears

Theresa May Holds on, but What Does This Mean for Investors?
Fixed Income

Theresa May Holds on, but What Does This Mean for Investors?

Theresa May has survived a leadership challenge called by Eurosceptic members of her own party and will continue to lead the United Kingdom as it heads towards Brexit. But David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group’s head of European Fixed Income, warns May’s troubles are not over yet. He predicts further volatility ahead for financial markets, but argues there may be opportunities for shrewd active managers.

Back from the Road Again: Five Things We Learnt from Our European Roadshow
Fixed Income

Back from the Road Again: Five Things We Learnt from Our European Roadshow

On a recent European roadshow, David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s head of European Fixed Income, had the chance to meet investors from Germany, France, Italy and Spain. In this article, he sets out some of his takeaway messages from the trip, including a couple of surprises.

Are We Nearly There Yet?: Revisiting the Politics and Processes of Brexit
Equity

Are We Nearly There Yet?: Revisiting the Politics and Processes of Brexit

“We believe it is likely over the coming months risk premiums will rise and potentially spur investment in stocks which have already been largely discounted for a worst-possible Brexit outcome, including the financial services and construction sectors.” - Sandy Nairn, Chairman, Templeton Global Equity Group

Theresa May’s Brexit Steeplechase Has Only Just Begun: An Investor’s Perspective
Alternatives

Theresa May’s Brexit Steeplechase Has Only Just Begun: An Investor’s Perspective

UK Prime Minister Theresa May seemed to have cleared the first hurdle in her bid to secure a soft Brexit. Her Cabinet initially backed the withdrawal deal UK and European Union negotiators have agreed to. But subsequently a number of cabinet members resigned. David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s head of European Fixed Income, warns her most difficult challenge now lies ahead. And he believes there remain plenty of obstacles in her path, with profound implications for investors.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

“If the United Kingdom fails to reach a deal or pass it through Parliament, the prospect of a fresh general election is a very real likelihood, in our view, bringing with it much uncertainty.” Franklin Templeton European Trading Desk team

Three Developments in Europe You May Have Missed over the Summer—and One You Didn’t
Fixed Income

Three Developments in Europe You May Have Missed over the Summer—and One You Didn’t

David Zahn, head of European fixed income, on why he thinks core European bond yields are unrealistically low, the impact of Japan’s “stealth taper”, and the apparent leadership vacuum at the heart of Europe. Plus why the lack of Brexit progress should be a concern for all EU member states.

Shining the Spotlight on Domestic Mid-Cap Stocks, Despite Brexit Uncertainty
Equity

Shining the Spotlight on Domestic Mid-Cap Stocks, Despite Brexit Uncertainty

“It’s understandable that UK mid-capitalisation (mid-cap) stocks might have fallen out of favour with some investors… However, we think it is prime time to dig a little deeper into some investment themes we’ve seen at play within the UK mid-cap market.” - Paul Spencer, vice president, portfolio manager, Franklin UK Equity team

Speeding Towards Brexit, Some Off-Ramps Emerge: A Dialogue with Lord Kerr
Perspectives

Speeding Towards Brexit, Some Off-Ramps Emerge: A Dialogue with Lord Kerr

The Brexit clock is ticking as the United Kingdom’s departure from the European Union (EU) is set to take place in March 2019. But is the UK ready to leave? And is there still a chance it won’t? We hear from Sandy Nairn, Templeton Global Equity Group chairman and Edinburgh Partners CEO, and Lord Kerr, former diplomat and current chairman of Scottish Power and crossbench member of the House of Lords.

Brexit: Are Markets Underestimating the Chances of the UK Not Leaving?
Equity

Brexit: Are Markets Underestimating the Chances of the UK Not Leaving?

“Given the institutional hurdles to an agreement in the necessary timescale, we don’t see the relatively benign soft Brexit scenario as the most likely outcome. Our view is that the position is much more finely balanced and perhaps there is an equal probability of a range of different outcomes.” - Sandy Nairn, Templeton Global Equity Group

Brexit: The Countdown Begins
Perspectives

Brexit: The Countdown Begins

Our Dylan Ball and David Zahn share what they’re watching in European equity and fixed income markets as the one-year countdown to Brexit begins.

Earnings Growth Underpins Our Solid Outlook for European Equities
Equity

Earnings Growth Underpins Our Solid Outlook for European Equities

Some investors seem to be questioning whether there’s still room for additional growth in European equities, particularly if interest rates start to rise. However, Templeton Global Equity Group’s Dylan Ball suggests labour reforms across the continent should give many firms the operating leverage they need to drive further earnings growth during 2018.

What Might Be More Important than Brexit to UK Equities Is…
Equity

What Might Be More Important than Brexit to UK Equities Is…

“We think there are reasons to believe Brexit should represent just a blip on the country’s long-term economic prospects. Although it may feel like a major issue right now, Brexit likely won’t define the United Kingdom in 5-10 years.” - Colin Morton, UK Equity team.