Beyond Bulls & Bears

Brexit: Not the Beginning of the End, But the End of the Beginning?
Fixed Income

Brexit: Not the Beginning of the End, But the End of the Beginning?

Against the odds, Boris Johnson’s UK government appears to have agreed to a deal in principle with the European Union (EU) which could see the United Kingdom leave the EU on October 31 in an orderly way. But David Zahn, our Head of European Fixed Income, cautions against popping the champagne corks too prematurely. There’s still a lot of work to be done, and financial market volatility is likely to remain heightened, he says.

UK Equity: A Means to a Dividend?
Equity

UK Equity: A Means to a Dividend?

UK equity investors may not have had much to cheer in recent months, but all is not lost, according to our Colin Morton. In this article, he explains why he’s optimistic about potential rising dividend opportunities among UK-listed firms.

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe

Last week proved to be positive for global equities as sentiment improved not only around the chances of a trade deal between the United States and China but also on Brexit. Despite being light on detail, rhetoric was supportive over the potential for progress on both, and markets reacted well.

European Political Developments: A Lesson in Unexpected Consequences
Fixed Income

European Political Developments: A Lesson in Unexpected Consequences

Even the most dedicated news-junkie may struggle to keep up with the pace of political shenanigans in Europe in recent weeks. Two countries in which the news has been especially fast-moving are Italy and the United Kingdom. Our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn notes some peculiar similarities in the way events have unfolded.

What We Think Could Drive European Markets in the Coming Months
Fixed Income

What We Think Could Drive European Markets in the Coming Months

As European investors and market practitioners return from their summer vacations and prepare for the final third of 2019, our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn highlights the issues he thinks will drive markets in the coming months.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Second-quarter corporate earnings season continues in earnest, with releases likely to drive the larger market moves. It’s also another busy week for central banks, as we hear from the Bank of Japan on Tuesday, the Federal Reserve on Wednesday, and the Bank of England on Thursday.

New UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson Faces Challenges at Home and Abroad
Fixed Income

New UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson Faces Challenges at Home and Abroad

Boris Johnson, one of the most enthusiastic supporters of Brexit, is the United Kingdom’s new prime minister. David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s Head of European Fixed Income, doubts Johnson will have much of a honeymoon period in the new role as he faces stiff challenges domestically and internationally, with global markets scouring his every move.

The EU: Singing from 28 Hymn Sheets
Fixed Income

The EU: Singing from 28 Hymn Sheets

What’s the investment lesson in Europe’s recent parliamentary elections? Our Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai says it’s differentiation. Read more of what’s on her mind about this topic. 

European Parliamentary Elections: A Barometer of European Thinking?
Fixed Income

European Parliamentary Elections: A Barometer of European Thinking?

European parliamentary elections don’t typically generate international headlines, but with the wrinkle of Brexit still unsettled, this time they are front and centre. Our David Zahn weighs in.

May Confirms Departure Date, but What Could It Mean for Investors?
Fixed Income

May Confirms Departure Date, but What Could It Mean for Investors?

“We calculate there would be no time for May’s successor to renegotiate a fresh deal with Brussels, so we think is more likely the UK could leave the EU without a deal.” David Zahn, Head of European Fixed Income.

Eurozone Debt Disputes Make an Unhappy Union
Fixed Income

Eurozone Debt Disputes Make an Unhappy Union

When investing in sovereign debt, there is a level of trust involved—faith a government will return an investor’s principal plus interest without fail. But Franklin Templeton Fixed Income doesn’t see this as blind faith; it must be backed by verifiable economic metrics. In this excerpt from the latest “FT Thinks,” our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn outlines how governments have changed in Europe, and how new politicians with fresh agendas can bolster confidence, or rouse concerns.

Still No Roadmap to a Brexit Resolution as EU Offers Another Extension
Fixed Income

Still No Roadmap to a Brexit Resolution as EU Offers Another Extension

Brexit may have been delayed again. The European Union has offered to allow the United Kingdom more time to decide how it wants to leave. While the measure may prevent a no-deal Brexit in the short-term, our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn thinks it may simply be saving up problems for the future.