Beyond Bulls & Bears

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Last week was choppy as investors digested central-banker commentary, macro data and corporate earnings. Of note, a number of Federal Reserve speakers stuck to their hawkish narrative and some weak US macro data raised doubts over a “soft landing” for the US economy.

Quick Thoughts: How to avoid making a unicorn skeleton
Multi-Asset

Quick Thoughts: How to avoid making a unicorn skeleton

Stephen Dover, Head of Franklin Templeton Institute, crunches the data to decipher the odds of a US recession this year and the implications for investor portfolios.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

The new market consensus for Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hikes is for 50 basis points (bps) to be added in the first half of 2023, followed by 200 bps of cuts over the following 18 months. It remains to be seen whether the market will eventually give in and follow the hawkish central bank tones, or whether the central banks will pivot to a more dovish stance than they have adopted until now.

Small-cap industrials, large onshoring opportunities
Equity

Small-cap industrials, large onshoring opportunities

Why small-cap industrials companies may be poised to benefit from moving supply chains closer to home—thoughts from Christopher Meeker of Franklin Mutual Series.

PODCAST Anatomy of a Recession: The long view for a new year
Equity

PODCAST Anatomy of a Recession: The long view for a new year

In our latest "Talking Markets" podcast, we meet with regular guest, Jeff Schulze of ClearBridge Investments, to discuss the US economy—focusing on inflation, the US labor market, and the Federal Reserve.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

2022 was a crazy year for global financial markets amidst escalating geopolitical risk, record levels of inflation and the highest central bank hiking cycle ever witnessed. Geopolitics in Europe and the subsequent knock-on effect for energy prices will likely continue to be a focus for investors. China’s COVID reopening is another focal point for investors at the start of the year.

One small step forward—one giant leap away from deflation in Japan
Equity

One small step forward—one giant leap away from deflation in Japan

Templeton Global Equity Group weighs in on inflation’s emergence in Japan, recent monetary policy shifts, and the implications for investors.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Unsurprisingly, it looks like an extremely quiet week ahead. No meaningful corporate events are scheduled this week and the macro calendar is also light, with the Eurozone Consumer Confidence reading on Tuesday and UK GDP Thursday the highlights.

Quick Thoughts: What to watch in 2023
Perspectives

Quick Thoughts: What to watch in 2023

Stephen Dover, Head of Franklin Templeton Institute, shares his scorecard on some market prognostications for 2022, and what his team is watching in 2023—from blockchain to balanced portfolios.

Harnessing the power of duration
Multi-Asset

Harnessing the power of duration

Yield is set to be a more important component of total return for investors during the next few years as the “Fed Put” exerts less influence on markets. Ed Perks, CIO of Franklin Income Investors, analyzes the move higher for rates and spreads and shares his expectations for yields and total returns across the capital structure during 2023.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

The week ahead has the potential to set the tone for markets into year end and into the first quarter of 2023. We have central bank meetings from the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England and Swiss National Bank (SNB) throughout the week

PODCAST: Anatomy of a recession—Interpreting mixed economic signals
Perspectives

PODCAST: Anatomy of a recession—Interpreting mixed economic signals

A look at the US economy with a focus on labor, home sales and corporate profits with Jeff Schulze, investment strategist at ClearBridge Investments.