Beyond Bulls & Bears

Peering Around the (Yield) Curve
Multi-Asset

Peering Around the (Yield) Curve

The US Treasury yield curve momentarily inverted. Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions investigates what this implies for recession risk, growth momentum, and equity prices.

PODCAST: Anatomy of a Recession: Why a US Recession is Unlikely Near Term
Perspectives

PODCAST: Anatomy of a Recession: Why a US Recession is Unlikely Near Term

Jeff Schulze, Investment Strategist at ClearBridge Investments and architect of ClearBridge’s Anatomy of a Recession programme, provides his views on why growing fears of a US recession may be overblown, at least near term.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Despite the overall strength last week, stock markets were really at the mercy of the headlines tied to Ukraine, which flip-flopped from one day to the next on the progress of peace talks.

As Rates Rise, Financials Can Shine
Equity

As Rates Rise, Financials Can Shine

Mutual Series’ analysts see value opportunities in the financials sector as the interest-rate environment turns more favourable in the United States and European banks see greater clarity about the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war.

Quick Thoughts: Energy Prices—Over the Barrel
Equity

Quick Thoughts: Energy Prices—Over the Barrel

Head of Franklin Templeton Investment Institute, Stephen Dover, hosted a special webinar to discuss rising oil prices and the fundamentals that would impact them in the future. Here are the key takeaways from his conversation with Frederick Fromm, Portfolio Manager and Energy Sector Research Analyst for Franklin Equity Group.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Events in Ukraine will continue to be a key driver for investor sentiment, with markets likely to see-saw on any meaningful news. It is a busy week for central banks too, with the Federal Reserve policy meeting on Wednesday and Bank of England on Thursday and Bank of Japan on Friday.

Energy Markets in View
Equity

Energy Markets in View

Consumers were feeling the pinch of higher energy prices even before Russia invaded Ukraine. Energy prices have surged to multi-year or record highs amid the war, and many are wondering if they still have further to go. Here, Franklin Equity Group’s Frederick Fromm shares his latest views on investing in the sector.

Geopolitical Risks in the United Kingdom
Equity

Geopolitical Risks in the United Kingdom

As geopolitical tensions escalate across the globe, our UK Equity team provides its insights into Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the implications for UK-listed companies.

Is Brazil Compellingly Out of Sync?
Perspectives

Is Brazil Compellingly Out of Sync?

The Russia-Ukraine war has led to a surge in commodity prices, which means Brazil, a key commodity exporter, stands to benefit. Here, Dina Ting, Head of Global Index Portfolio Management, Franklin Templeton Exchange-Traded Funds, explores the outlook for Brazilian equities in light of recent events.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Soaring commodity prices and the commensurate inflationary impact is alarming investors. The fear is that consumer confidence and spending will be hit, and we find ourselves in a stagflation environment, with stagnating economic growth (or recession) and soaring inflation.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

It is well known that the pain from the gas price moves is significant, particularly for Germany and Italy. The Italian government has said it is reviewing options, including reopening shuttered coal plants. In Germany, the government is reported to be considering delaying the phasing out of nuclear power.

Asset Class Implications of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Equity

Asset Class Implications of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Russia has invaded Ukraine. Our Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions team reflects on the human tragedy that is occurring as they also parse the data to understand the resulting economic and market implications. If the conflict remains protracted, it may produce a “low growth, high inflation” environment, in which case nimble management and keen attention to policy responses will be required.