Beyond Bulls & Bears

Staying Nimble Amid an Uncertain Outlook
Perspectives

Staying Nimble Amid an Uncertain Outlook

Bouts of volatility hit markets across the globe in the third quarter of 2019 amid continued uncertainties about global growth and trade. Central banks took notice, with the US Federal Reserve easing interest rates for the first time in more than a decade and the European Central Bank also cutting rates and reintroducing quantitative easing. Against this backdrop, our senior investment leaders discuss why they do not see a recession in the near term, but are taking a cautious and nimble approach.

PODCAST: Health Care Sector Innovation and Insight
Equity

PODCAST: Health Care Sector Innovation and Insight

The biopharma industry has the potential to save lives with dramatic breakthroughs in new therapeutic drugs. In our latest “Talking Markets” podcast, our Head of Equities Stephen Dover speaks with analysts Steven Kornfeld and Krzysztof Musialik about health care innovations, particularly in the area of biopharma. They point out that in some cases, emerging markets are actually leading the way.

A Northern View: 10 Years into a Canadian Bull Market
Equity

A Northern View: 10 Years into a Canadian Bull Market

While there has been a lot of focus among many investors on the length of the US economic expansion, there are other countries experiencing similarly long—or longer—expansions of their own. One of these is Canada, the United States’ northern neighbour. Our Head of Equities Stephen Dover, along with Managing Director Purav Jhaveri and our Canada-based portfolio managers Garey Aitken and Tim Caulfield, explore the dynamics in Canada’s markets.

End-of-Cycle Management
Equity

End-of-Cycle Management

As the US economic cycle continues to age, many are starting to question when—and how—it will end. Our Head of Equities Stephen Dover says it’s certainly wise for investors to prepare, but doesn’t see reason to think a recession is on the immediate horizon.

PODCAST: Midyear Outlook: Reining in Risk
Perspectives

PODCAST: Midyear Outlook: Reining in Risk

Equity markets continued to march higher in the first half of 2019, despite trade uncertainties and recessionary fears. An abrupt change to a more dovish stance among central bankers has recently provided fresh tinder to the equity fire. But does a looser policy stance signal there are cracks in the global economy’s foundation? Our senior investment leaders share their views on investing in uncertain times and how their outlooks have changed from earlier this year. They weigh in on market divergence, whether there is simply too much focus on the US Federal Reserve, where they see pockets of opportunity and how they are looking to play defence.

Trade War: The Second Front
Equity

Trade War: The Second Front

“In our view, both the China and Mexico trade wars could be long-drawn affairs, as both fronts (jobs/immigration) cater to President Trump’s voter base, and the president has bipartisan support for the one with China.” – Stephen Dover, Head of Equities

FOMO? Investors Fear Missing Out as Companies Stay Private for Longer
Equity

FOMO? Investors Fear Missing Out as Companies Stay Private for Longer

Many companies are staying private for longer before deciding to go public—if they do so at all. But what does that mean for investors? Our Head of Equities, Stephen Dover, says the type of gains many stocks have seen right after their public-market launches could be a thing of the past. He also makes the case that this private-for-longer trend favours active managers who can invest in these companies at a potentially faster stage of growth.

US/China Trade Tensions Are Testing Investors’ Nerves
Equity

US/China Trade Tensions Are Testing Investors’ Nerves

The war of words between the Trump administration and China threatens to break out into a full-scale trade war. Franklin Templeton Head of Equities, Stephen Dover, considers the reaction of global investors and puts the current US stock market environment into perspective. And he considers some other issues that are contributing to markets’ cautious sentiment.

PODCAST: Market Resilience: Strength in Numbers
Perspectives

PODCAST: Market Resilience: Strength in Numbers

Concerns about where the financial markets are heading are at the forefront of many investors’ minds. The risks of a US or global recession this year continue to persist amid slowing global growth, trade tensions and worries about potential geopolitical shocks. Our senior investment leaders see a different story unfolding. In this roundtable discussion, they outline why they think some market observers are misguided and where they see opportunities today.

Volatile Markets: Are High-Frequency Traders to Blame?
Equity

Volatile Markets: Are High-Frequency Traders to Blame?

“In our view, high-frequency trading plays a role in market meltdowns or melt-ups, which could be exacerbated when stocks or markets have low levels of liquidity.” – Stephen Dover, Head of Equities

Three Technology Titans Reshaping Retail
Equity

Three Technology Titans Reshaping Retail

Powerful retailing disruptors are reshaping expectations about shopping and shipping by digitising retail markets across the globe. New conveniences such as ordering groceries with a simple voice command are upending the old-world order. In this excerpt from the latest edition of FT Thinks: “Three Technology Titans Reshaping Retail,” senior equity analysts across our Growth, Value and Emerging Markets teams compare how three retailing giants tailor technology to fit local customs, lifestyles and payment abilities.

PODCAST: Making Sense of Recent Market Action
Perspectives

PODCAST: Making Sense of Recent Market Action

After a turbulent end to 2018, early January brought some relief for equity investors, but there certainly are no shortage of uncertainties about the year ahead. Three of our senior investment leaders recently participated in panel discussion about what they see affecting investor sentiment, how they think changes in monetary policy are influencing market action and why they don’t see a US recession this year.