Beyond Bulls & Bears

On My Mind: For a few rate cuts more
Fixed Income

On My Mind: For a few rate cuts more

Recent data releases continue to point to a stubbornly resilient US economy. This supports Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai’s long-held view that the neutral rate of interest lies north of 4% and suggests that this monetary policy easing cycle will be shorter and shallower than many financial market participants expect.

PODCAST Anatomy of a Recession Update: Economic growth ahead?
Perspectives

PODCAST Anatomy of a Recession Update: Economic growth ahead?

We speak with Jeff Schulze of ClearBridge Investments about the dramatic improvement within the Recession Risk Dashboard, delving into the individual indicator changes. And, he shares his thoughts on when we may see a Fed rate cut and addresses concerns about US equity valuations.

Evolving Fed expectations and asset-allocation implications
Multi-Asset

Evolving Fed expectations and asset-allocation implications

With continued economic growth and elevated inflation levels, the Fed keeps delaying interest-rate cuts. The Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions team provides a historical analysis to make sense of the Fed rate cycle and what it implies for multi-asset investors.

Flash Insights: March inflation—Yet another reason to delay easing
Fixed Income

Flash Insights: March inflation—Yet another reason to delay easing

March US consumer prices rose faster than expected. The reacceleration in supercore inflation suggests the strong inflation readings at the start of the year may not have been mere blips. Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Economist Nikhil Mohan expects the Federal Reserve will likely begin rate cuts in September, but inflation trends may affect the timing of the cuts.