Beyond Bulls & Bears

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

 Last week saw equity markets continue their grind higher, with the familiar theme of US technology stocks leading the way higher. Volumes and news flow were once again fairly light due to the summer holiday season.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Last week was quiet for equity markets with the second-quarter 2020 earnings season now behind us and many market participants on holiday. The fate of technology stocks will likely be a key driver for equity markets globally into year-end.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

As summer started and lockdowns eased across Europe, a “‘feel-good”’ factor helped consumer activity start to rebound nicely in a number of countries. However, concerns seem to now be rising again over an increase in new COVID-19 cases across the continent.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

In parts of the United States and in Europe, (namely France, Germany and Spain) COVID-19 cases have surged. So, the shape of global economic recovery from the pandemic remains uncertain. but markets appear to have shrugged this off for now.

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe

Last week saw equity markets tread water ahead of a number of upcoming notable events and catalysts expected this week. Still, the narrative around US trade relations with the rest of the world was a prime focus, as US President Donald Trump shared his thoughts on the US relationship with a number of different countries. 

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe

We expect the conclusion of the UK Conservative leadership battle and the stance of the UK’s new leader will dominate headlines this week. We can also expect more developments from both Italy and Spain on the political front. Earnings season in Europe will see its busiest week of the quarter so far, with single stock moves likely to impact indices.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Global equities were relatively flat last week as investors watched with bated breath ahead of the meeting between US and Chinese Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping at the G20 summit. Volumes were lower, even into month- and quarter-end, as markets anticipated a stalemate between the two sides.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Global equities’ performance last week contributed to their strongest quarter since 2010. The rally comes on the back of what was a weighty selloff for global equities into year-end last year.  Renewed hopes that a trade deal between the United States and China will eventually be struck drove the move higher, along with a more dovish attitude from the US Federal Reserve which alleviated some pressure on markets. US and Chinese equities have been at the forefront of this strength.

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe

Equity markets continued their recovery last week as optimism around US/China trade talks and a continued dovish narrative from the US Federal Reserve eased investor nerves. In Europe, macro data continues to be lacklustre and the noise around Brexit is back to fever pitch. But European indices still benefitted from the more positive global perspective.

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe

Positive catalysts helped European equities edge higher throughout last week. These included the hopes of an easing in global trade-war tensions and political progress in Italy. Nevertheless, concerns over Brexit and some disappointing data from Europe and China continue to cast a dark shadow.

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe

The last few of days in October brought some welcome respite for equity markets thanks to month-end positioning, robust corporate earnings and better tone around US/China trade. Markets were in positive territory last week across the board.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

“It seems likely the Five Star Movement will have a major part to play in Italian policy going forward. Coalition governments are commonplace in Italy and a single party has not won an outright majority since the Second World War.”- Franklin Templeton European Trading Desk team, March 5, 2018.