interest rates - Beyond Bulls & Bears

Beyond Bulls & Bears

Multi-Asset

Quick Thoughts: Market dislocations—implications for investors

While markets appear to be in a tailspin over recent US economic data, it’s too soon to conclude the US is headed toward recession, according to Franklin Templeton Institute’s Stephen Dover. He weighs in on recent market action and the silver lining in Fed rate cuts likely ahead.

Stephen H. Dover, CFA | August 05, 2024

Fixed Income

ECB begins what may be a slow cutting cycle

The European Central Bank cut its key benchmark interest rate by 0.25%, while indicating that its future moves will depend on incoming financial and economic data. David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s Head of European Fixed Income, shares why he thinks the ECB will likely move slowly and discusses the implications for investors.

David Zahn, CFA, FRM | June 07, 2024

Fixed Income

Quick Thoughts: Should we fear the rapid rise of interest rates?

Term premiums have been on the rise, but should investors be concerned? Stephen Dover, Head of Franklin Templeton Institute, explains what term premiums are, and why they are worth paying attention to.

Stephen H. Dover, CFA | October 19, 2023

Fixed Income

Quick Thoughts: Impacts of ceilings, tightening and liquidity

Head of Franklin Templeton Institute Stephen Dover recently moderated a panel of our leading economists and asked this key question: What’s in store for investors in the second half? Here’s a quick take of their answers.

Stephen H. Dover, CFA | July 17, 2023

Perspectives

Quick Thoughts: Preparing for a pause

There is a disconnect between the Fed’s message regarding taking a pause in hiking interest rates this year and the market’s expectations of rate cuts. Stephen Dover, Head of Franklin Templeton Institute, shares the views of the company’s investment leaders regarding the likely path for interest rates as well as how investors can best position themselves in this uncertain environment.

Stephen H. Dover, CFA | May 11, 2023

Fixed Income

On My Mind: Fed to markets—keep dancing

Markets think the war against inflation has been won—and the Fed seems to believe it too—but has it? Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai analyzes the latest data in light of the Federal Reserve policy meeting and examines whether a “painless landing” is possible.

Sonal Desai, Ph.D. | February 02, 2023

Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

The next two weeks could be key for setting the tone into year end. There are several central bank meetings this week, including the Reserve Bank of Australia, Fed, Norges Bank and Bank of England. Wednesday’s Fed interest-rate decision and statement will likely be the key event of the week.

October 31, 2022

Fixed Income

On my mind: Staying on message

The Fed delivered another 75 bps rate hike and reiterated its Jackson Hole message: reducing inflation is now its one and only priority. But the Fed's forecasts still seem too optimistic, and this could feed extended uncertainty and volatility in markets. Our Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai shares her thoughts.

Sonal Desai, Ph.D. | September 21, 2022

Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk: Europe

Headwinds persist and volatility remains, and investors seem to be looking beyond the immediate issues that have been weighing on stocks, giving the market short-term, risk-on moves higher.

September 12, 2022

Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Last week’s rally was a welcome relief for equity investors, but questions remain as to the reasons for the move. It seems likely that the market bounce was driven by some month- and quarter-end positioning from oversold levels, but hopes rose that we could be approaching peak inflation thanks to declines in commodity prices.

June 27, 2022

Perspectives

PODCAST: Looking beneath the surface of monetary policy tightening

Thought leaders from Franklin Templeton and our specialist investment managers discuss how the largest Fed hike in nearly three decades, along with the possibility of subsequent significant hikes, could impact US markets and the economy. Plus, which developed and emerging markets face the most challenging economic and investing environments.

June 23, 2022

Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Franklin Templeton’s Notes from the Trading Desk offers a weekly overview of what our professional traders and analysts are watching in the markets. The European desk is manned by eight professionals based in Edinburgh, Scotland, with an average of 15 years of experience whose job it is to monitor the markets around the world. Their views are theirs alone and are not intended to be construed as investment advice.

June 20, 2022

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