Beyond Bulls & Bears

What the Italian Election Tells Us About Populism in Europe
Fixed Income

What the Italian Election Tells Us About Populism in Europe

David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s head of European Fixed Income, remains optimistic on Italy’s long-term fundamentals, but believes the political trajectory of the country is a concern.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

“It seems likely the Five Star Movement will have a major part to play in Italian policy going forward. Coalition governments are commonplace in Italy and a single party has not won an outright majority since the Second World War.”- Franklin Templeton European Trading Desk team, March 5, 2018.

Italian Election Result: Political Uncertainty is Business as Usual for Italy
Fixed Income

Italian Election Result: Political Uncertainty is Business as Usual for Italy

No outright winner emerged from the Italian general election, but as David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s head of European Fixed Income, explains that situation is normal for Italy. He expects a muted response from European bond markets but cautions there may be consequences down the road if the authorities fail to take the need for reform seriously.

Italian Election Outlook and Why We Don’t See an ECB Rate Hike Before 2020
Fixed Income

Italian Election Outlook and Why We Don’t See an ECB Rate Hike Before 2020

The upcoming Italian election is not attracting the same sort of attention among investors as votes last year in France and Germany. For that very reason, David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s Head of European Fixed Income, believes an unexpected result might provoke an outsized market reaction. And while investors seem more preoccupied with the trajectory of eurozone monetary policy, Zahn believes there are good reasons to think the European Central Bank will hold off until 2020 before pushing interest rates up.