Beyond Bulls & Bears

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Global equities were stronger across the board last week. Improving sentiment around vaccination programmes, as well positive developments in Italian politics, were the focus in Europe, while in the United States, stimulus hopes boosted markets.

Notes from the Trading Desk—Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk—Europe

COVID-19 and the economic impact of prolonged lockdowns continues to be a driver for Europe’s markets. However, many market observers remain positive on economic outlook, particularly in the United States.

Notes from the Trading Desk—Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk—Europe

The proposed US$1.9 trillion fiscal package announced by President-elect Joe Biden was the key focus for the United States, whilst in Europe, politics and the continuing fight against COVID-19 held investor attention.

Leftist Party Win in Italy Regional Election Marks Comfort with Status Quo
Fixed Income

Leftist Party Win in Italy Regional Election Marks Comfort with Status Quo

Italy’s regional election in Emilia Romagna resulted in a win for the centre-left coalition, a development that affirms the long period of leftist rule in one of Italy’s wealthiest regions. Our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn weighs in on the market implications.

European Political Developments: A Lesson in Unexpected Consequences
Fixed Income

European Political Developments: A Lesson in Unexpected Consequences

Even the most dedicated news-junkie may struggle to keep up with the pace of political shenanigans in Europe in recent weeks. Two countries in which the news has been especially fast-moving are Italy and the United Kingdom. Our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn notes some peculiar similarities in the way events have unfolded.

What We Think Could Drive European Markets in the Coming Months
Fixed Income

What We Think Could Drive European Markets in the Coming Months

As European investors and market practitioners return from their summer vacations and prepare for the final third of 2019, our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn highlights the issues he thinks will drive markets in the coming months.

The EU: Singing from 28 Hymn Sheets
Fixed Income

The EU: Singing from 28 Hymn Sheets

What’s the investment lesson in Europe’s recent parliamentary elections? Our Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai says it’s differentiation. Read more of what’s on her mind about this topic. 

A Global Macro Perspective: Populism, Trade and Emerging-Market Volatility
Fixed Income

A Global Macro Perspective: Populism, Trade and Emerging-Market Volatility

Templeton Global Macro Chief Investment Officer Dr. Michael Hasenstab and Vice President and Deputy Director of Research, Dr. Calvin Ho, discuss emerging-market turbulence, the persistent concerns around trade policy and divergent growth trends in the developed world.

Global Economic Perspective: October
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: October

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, our Fixed Income Group discusses whether optimism about the US economy is justified, and whether Italy’s budget talks could lead to looser fiscal policy elsewhere in the eurozone.

Italy’s Inflection Point as It Prepares to Unveil Spending Plans
Fixed Income

Italy’s Inflection Point as It Prepares to Unveil Spending Plans

Controversial spending plans outlined by Italy’s populist government caused consternation among investors at the beginning of October. David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s head of European Fixed Income, considers how the coalition government’s growing popularity could influence the European Union’s response. And he explores the implications for the wider eurozone.

Three Developments in Europe You May Have Missed over the Summer—and One You Didn’t
Fixed Income

Three Developments in Europe You May Have Missed over the Summer—and One You Didn’t

David Zahn, head of European fixed income, on why he thinks core European bond yields are unrealistically low, the impact of Japan’s “stealth taper”, and the apparent leadership vacuum at the heart of Europe. Plus why the lack of Brexit progress should be a concern for all EU member states.

Italian Politics + US Trade Tariffs = Market Turmoil
Equity

Italian Politics + US Trade Tariffs = Market Turmoil

There seems to be no shortage of market-moving events of late, and no shortage of market volatility. In recent days, oil has hit a four-year high, Italy has been thrust into the spotlight amid a political crisis and trade-war fears between the United States and several of its key allies have again flared up after US President Donald Trump’s administration slapped them with tariffs. Katrina Dudley, portfolio manager and research analyst with Franklin Mutual Series, weighs in on it all.