Trump - Beyond Bulls & Bears

Beyond Bulls & Bears

Fixed Income

Trade and Taxes in a World With Borders

“Successful [US] corporate tax reform would go a long way in promoting the incentives for real investment over the long term. Since weak investment has been identified as a potential drag on productivity growth since the global financial crisis, this shift in incentives could have strong and long-lived benefits.” - Michael Hasenstab

Michael Hasenstab, Ph.D. | May 12, 2017

Equity

The Sectors Most Likely to Cheer US Tax Reform

It’s always tough to gauge the impact of policy shifts in isolation. However, we think broad tax reform combined with other fiscal stimulus measures, such as infrastructure spending and repatriation of foreign profits, can be very effective (at least in the short term) in providing a boost or acceleration in gross domestic product growth over the next several years.

Edward D. Perks, CFA | February 01, 2017

Fixed Income

In the Know: Fed Lifts Rates, but “Lower for Longer” Likely

We are cautiously optimistic the backdrop of potentially lower regulation and lower taxes could be a net positive for US economic growth and the corporate environment broadly, but many of the potential changes are likely to be easier said than done. To not anticipate any bumps would be overly optimistic.

Christopher J. Molumphy, CFA | December 14, 2016

Fixed Income

Why Markets Are More Cautious About the Next Potential Political Pitfall

Although the Italian constitutional referendum may seem parochial compared with the US election or the Brexit vote, it has the potential to bring further uncertainty to a European Union which is already struggling to digest the implications of Trump’s victory.

David Zahn, CFA, FRM | November 18, 2016

Perspectives

America Decides: A Vote for Change

The next 100 days are critical for the newly elected officials in the United States, and we will continue to gain clarity on many policy items over that timeframe. There is no doubt that this election, and outcome has challenged the status quo and we could see even small issues become larger should impasses persist.

Edward D. Perks, CFA | November 09, 2016

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