US election - Beyond Bulls & Bears

Equity

Quick Thoughts: On Georgia Elections: Stimulus for Individuals and Infrastructure

The US state of Georgia held January runoff elections that determined two Democrats as their US senators, giving the Democratic Party control of the legislative and executive branches through 2022. Our Head of Equities, Stephen Dover, thinks active investment opportunities can be found in Democratic priorities including green energy and infrastructure, and also within small-cap companies.

Stephen H. Dover, CFA | January 12, 2021

Fixed Income

US Election: Implications across the Pond

This November’s US presidential election pits Donald Trump against Democratic nominee Joe Biden, a longtime politician who represents a more progressive policy approach. Our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn breaks down the implications of the US election for Europe, and why many of Biden’s policies line up more closely with European views.

David Zahn, CFA, FRM | August 25, 2020

Perspectives

Presidential Election Complicates US Market Outlook

The global market outlook is already hazy in light of the COVID-19 pandemic, and the upcoming US presidential election adds another layer of uncertainty. In this excerpt from our Midyear Global Investment Outlook, Sonal Desai, Stephen Dover, Michael Hasenstab and Ed Perks offer their views of today’s investment landscape, including the upcoming US elections and economic outlook.

July 10, 2020

Fixed Income

Why Markets Are More Cautious About the Next Potential Political Pitfall

Although the Italian constitutional referendum may seem parochial compared with the US election or the Brexit vote, it has the potential to bring further uncertainty to a European Union which is already struggling to digest the implications of Trump’s victory.

David Zahn, CFA, FRM | November 18, 2016

Equity

Counting the US Election Implications on the Global Markets

We don’t anticipate that the new US government will be against free trade; instead, we anticipate an emphasis on ensuring fair trade. The electorate’s rebellion against globalization is not about trade per se, but rather a reflection of the focus on income and job growth.

Stephen H. Dover, CFA | November 17, 2016

Fixed Income

Hasenstab: US Election Rhetoric vs. Realities

I think we learned a lot from the post-US election market reaction. We learned which markets are vulnerable, which were oversold, and by and large, see some of these market dislocations as an opportunity if we can sift through them.

Michael Hasenstab, Ph.D. | November 09, 2016

Perspectives

Notes from the Trading Desk – US Election Special

For Asian markets trading Wednesday morning, we felt it was almost a replay of the Brexit tape—initial complacency made a hard turn into the realisation that an upset was imminent.

November 09, 2016

Perspectives

America Decides: A Vote for Change

The next 100 days are critical for the newly elected officials in the United States, and we will continue to gain clarity on many policy items over that timeframe. There is no doubt that this election, and outcome has challenged the status quo and we could see even small issues become larger should impasses persist.

Edward D. Perks, CFA | November 09, 2016

Equity

Stock-Market Value Hunting—and a Potential Post-Election Outcome

When looking at various countries or regions where we invest, we consider emerging markets as representing a disproportionate amount of where equity value exists today after several years of underperformance relative to developed markets.

Tucker Scott, CFA | November 01, 2016

Equity

What’s Driving US, European Voter Resentment?

Voters in a democracy often respond more to perception than reality, particularly when it comes to issues of patriotism, pride and identity. It isn’t always just about the bottom line.

Cindy L. Sweeting, CFA | October 31, 2016

Fixed Income

Fixed Income Markets and the US Election: What Really Matters

In terms of US monetary policy, on balance we don’t think the election itself will materially impact the path of interest rates unless the economic fundamentals materially reversed. Additionally, the passage of election uncertainty should remove another potential objection to continuing on a gradual tightening path.

Christopher J. Molumphy, CFA | October 25, 2016

Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: October

While heartened by the bounce in oil prices after the multi-decade lows reached early in the year, any significant further rally in energy prices would seem to us to require a far more vibrant global economy. As the IMF’s (and the Fed’s) relatively subdued outlooks make clear, it is hard to anticipate such a scenario occurring anytime soon.

Christopher J. Molumphy, CFA | October 13, 2016