Beyond Bulls & Bears

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

There has been a clear focus on central bank rhetoric at the start of the new year, with investors wary of the speed and extent to which monetary policy will begin to tighten.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

The first half of 2022 brings some European political events to keep an eye on, namely appointment of a new Italian president and French presidential elections. A return to a more combative Italian government could create tensions within the European Union—another potential headwind for equity markets.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Investors continue to assess the economic impact of high COVID infection rates. The latest variant, Omicron, drove the number of infections in the United Kingdom to new daily highs last week and is expected to become the dominant strain in the eurozone.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Central bank policy takes centre stage this week as over 20 central banks have interest-rate decisions this week. Focus is primarily on the Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting on Wednesday, and the Bank of England (BoE) and the European Central Bank (ECB) meetings Thursday.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Inflation remains front and centre. Strong US inflation data raised fears that the Federal Reserve is behind the curve and would need to take more hawkish action in the future.

Notes from the Trading Desk
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk

This week it will be the familiar themes of continuing Brexit negotiations and COVID-19 cases and restrictions that should give European markets direction. In addition, third-quarter earnings season heats up. It’s a similar story in  in the United States, with politics, stimulus and earnings likely to drive markets.  

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe

We expect the conclusion of the UK Conservative leadership battle and the stance of the UK’s new leader will dominate headlines this week. We can also expect more developments from both Italy and Spain on the political front. Earnings season in Europe will see its busiest week of the quarter so far, with single stock moves likely to impact indices.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

"Last week was quiet until sleepy summer markets were woken by a war of words between North Korea and the United States, with both sides threatening military action. On the back of this we saw a de-risking across asset classes, and global equity markets declined across the board." - Franklin Templeton European Trading Desk team

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe
Perspectives

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe

Given the improving macroeconomic data we have seen from the eurozone of late, there was a good deal of scrutiny on ECB President Mario Draghi’s press conference to see if he would step back from his dovish stance. Draghi appeared keen to be careful not to unsettle markets with excessively hawkish rhetoric.