fixed income investing - Beyond Bulls & Bears

Fixed Income

On My Mind: The Long and Winding Road…

With inflation running at multi-decade highs, major central banks get ready to tighten monetary policy. Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Chief Investment Officer Sonal Desai argues they are well behind the curve—and why she thinks markets still underestimate the long, volatile adjustment period that lies ahead.

Sonal Desai, Ph.D. | February 14, 2022

Fixed Income

Still No Roadmap to a Brexit Resolution as EU Offers Another Extension

Brexit may have been delayed again. The European Union has offered to allow the United Kingdom more time to decide how it wants to leave. While the measure may prevent a no-deal Brexit in the short-term, our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn thinks it may simply be saving up problems for the future.

April 10, 2019

Fixed Income

Can the EU’s Extension Offer Really Break the Brexit Deadlock?

After a nail-biting few hours, European Union leaders have agreed to the UK government’s request to delay Brexit, albeit the extension is less than Theresa May had requested. But our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn believes the decision does little more than reset the clock and he warns there is still a strong chance that the United Kingdom could still crash out without a deal.

David Zahn, CFA, FRM | March 21, 2019

Fixed Income

In the Know: Trump’s Fed Chair Pick Seen as Market Positive

“The markets should take some comfort in Powell, as he is a current Fed governor and more or less represents the current state of affairs, business as usual. He has worked alongside Yellen since 2012, and they are philosophically alike (dovish bent).” Christopher Molumphy, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group

Christopher J. Molumphy, CFA | November 02, 2017

European Drama Hasn’t Derailed US Growth

We believe headwinds to growth have been easing and what the current leg of the US expansion has perhaps lacked in intensity may very well be made up for by a transition to a more durable or lengthy expansion.

July 24, 2015

China: Searching for a New Equilibrium

Overall, based on our detailed analysis, we believe China will remain on course … while the economy shifts toward consumption, services and higher value-added manufacturing. This could have important implications for the global economy.

July 15, 2015

Global Economic Perspective: June

In spite of lingering concerns about Greece’s fate, the European economy would appear to have hit a sweet spot marked by steadily improving growth and inflation figures along with declining unemployment.

June 18, 2015

Global Economic Perspective: May

Although liquidity from the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan will continue to seep into select markets, countries exposed to the US dollar could see bond yields—and hence debt service costs—rise as the Fed tightens policy.

May 22, 2015

2015 Asia Pacific Investor Forum Snapshot

To date, lower interest rates do not seem to have stimulated the domestic Australian economy. We think there’s probably more work to be done by the Reserve Bank, and therefore, we project yields will continue to decline, as likely will the Australian dollar.

April 17, 2015

Headwinds—or Tailwinds—for Fixed Income Investors

As long-term, fundamental investors, we think the equilibrium rate—the prevailing interest rate when supply equals demand—for intermediate US Treasuries should be higher and likely will move higher—eventually.

January 28, 2015

Income-Seeking Australians Search for Yield

Instead of chasing yields or returns, bond investors, in our view, should pause and consider how to best construct an investment strategy with the goal of delivering optimal risk and returns to better complement their overall portfolios.

December 18, 2014

2015 Investment Outlook: US Credit Cycle Tiptoes into Middle Age

In our view, companies' generally slow and steady approach to spending and expanding has delayed the US economy's progression through the credit cycle.

December 18, 2014