Beyond Bulls & Bears

On My Mind: The fog of trade war
Fixed Income

On My Mind: The fog of trade war

Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai shares her thoughts on the Federal Reserve policy meeting. Fed projections now call for slower growth and higher inflation versus earlier forecasts, yet hard data shows the US economy is still in good shape; uncertainty is high and the Fed is keeping all options open. Find out what this might mean for the US economy and fixed income investors.

On My Mind: Markets getting wobbly?
Fixed Income

On My Mind: Markets getting wobbly?

Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai shares her thoughts on the new US administration’s plans, ideas and actions so far, and what they might mean for the US economy and fixed income investors.

On My Mind: What’s next for interest rates? Wall Street Journal podcast discussion
Fixed Income

On My Mind: What’s next for interest rates? Wall Street Journal podcast discussion

The latest “On My Mind” comes in video format from Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai and covers her outlook for inflation, Federal Reserve policy, bond yields and the new US presidential administration's policies.

On My Mind: 2025 themes in focus—fiscal headaches, monetary prudence, productivity and volatility
Fixed Income

On My Mind: 2025 themes in focus—fiscal headaches, monetary prudence, productivity and volatility

Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai shares four key themes that she believes will shape economic and financial market developments in 2025 and beyond.

On My Mind: US elections—what’s next for the economy, markets and the Fed?
Fixed Income

On My Mind: US elections—what’s next for the economy, markets and the Fed?

President-elect Donald Trump’s policy proposals—including taxes, tariffs and a simplified regulatory regime—will likely mean stronger US economic growth and might reignite inflationary pressures. This supports Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai’s long-held view that this monetary policy easing cycle will be shorter and more shallow than many financial market participants expect.

On My Mind: For a few rate cuts more
Fixed Income

On My Mind: For a few rate cuts more

Recent data releases continue to point to a stubbornly resilient US economy. This supports Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai’s long-held view that the neutral rate of interest lies north of 4% and suggests that this monetary policy easing cycle will be shorter and shallower than many financial market participants expect.

On My Mind: The first cut is the deepest
Fixed Income

On My Mind: The first cut is the deepest

Where does the Fed go next after this week’s 50 basis point interest-rate cut? Thoughts from Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai.

Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Macro Views: Everything everywhere all at once
Fixed Income

Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Macro Views: Everything everywhere all at once

Franklin Templeton Fixed Income economists note continued divergence in G3 monetary policies. The US Federal Reserve and European Central Bank are expected to continue gradual easing, with US politics adding uncertainty. In contrast, Japan's strong labor market may lead to more aggressive tightening than anticipated.

On My Mind: It’s not the end of the world as we know it
Fixed Income

On My Mind: It’s not the end of the world as we know it

Recent data releases appear to give the green light for the US Federal Reserve to begin easing monetary policy in September. However, according to Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai, the key issue remains the nature of the easing cycle ahead—namely its duration, its speed, and the policy rate endpoint.

On My Mind: (r)-stargazing
Fixed Income

On My Mind: (r)-stargazing

Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai discusses where she thinks the real policy rate lies in the United States and how this informs her outlook for US Treasury yields over the medium to long term.

On My Mind: The twin roots of rising rates
Fixed Income

On My Mind: The twin roots of rising rates

Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai discusses why rising investment and persistently loose US fiscal policy are simultaneously pushing in the direction of higher long-term real interest rates.

On My Mind: The Fed, the Treasury and a fistful of dollars
Fixed Income

On My Mind: The Fed, the Treasury and a fistful of dollars

Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai discusses why persistently loose fiscal policy, relentless price pressures and resilient economic growth may cause a problem for the US Federal Reserve—and explains the implications for bond yields.

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