Beyond Bulls & Bears

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Equity

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe

We regard the eerie calm in market volatility we saw in 2017 as an historical anomaly. Although equity markets appear to have stabilised for now, we would expect to see further volatility ahead as central banks move away from an easing bias in coming months and years.

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Equity

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe

"Because the [stock market] correction doesn’t appear to be routed in fundamental issues, there is an argument that investors are finding it perhaps more unsettling. The inability to point towards clear geopolitical, economic or corporate reasons may have left some market participants suspicious and lacking confidence in what will happen next." - Franklin Templeton European Trading Desk Team

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Equity

Earnings Growth Underpins Our Solid Outlook for European Equities

Some investors seem to be questioning whether there’s still room for additional growth in European equities, particularly if interest rates start to rise. However, Templeton Global Equity Group’s Dylan Ball suggests labour reforms across the continent should give many firms the operating leverage they need to drive further earnings growth during 2018.

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Equity

Seeing the Big Picture in Market Corrections

While we don’t know when the equity market’s recent volatility will settle down, it’s important to consider the big-picture, fundamental backdrop for the market, and not get caught up in short-term sentiment swings, according to Franklin Templeton’s head of equities, Stephen Dover. And, he believes the fundamental backdrop still looks solid.

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Perspectives

Keeping Calm When Volatility Strikes

While volatile markets occasionally present a challenge for global investors, it is our view that a knee-jerk reaction is rarely the best response. With careful consideration, the benefit of experience and an active approach, we believe periods of market turmoil can often be a time of great opportunity.

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Equity

Insights from the 2018 US Consumer Electronics Show

“We go to the Consumer Electronics Show (CES) to see how leading public and private technology companies are positioning themselves for what is next, and what products are likely to break into the mainstream. At this year’s CES, we saw three key themes: smart speakers, autonomous driving and artificial intelligence (AI).” – Jonathan Curtis and Robert Stevenson, Franklin Equity Group.

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Equity

Notes From the Trading Desk – Europe

We’ve seen some dramatic headlines in the wake of last Friday's US equity selloff, but it’s important to remember that equities have had an incredible run over the past year. In relative terms, we consider this pullback to be reasonably small. - Franklin Templeton European Trading Desk Team

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Equity

What Might Be More Important than Brexit to UK Equities Is…

“We think there are reasons to believe Brexit should represent just a blip on the country’s long-term economic prospects. Although it may feel like a major issue right now, Brexit likely won’t define the United Kingdom in 5-10 years.” - Colin Morton, UK Equity team.

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Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

"Trump’s reassurance [on the US dollar] provided only a temporary boost to the currency, reflecting not only the considerable momentum against the dollar but also the market’s ability to shrug off commentary from the president." Franklin Templeton European Trading Desk team, January 29, 2018.

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Alternatives

First Quarter Hedge-Fund Strategy Outlook: K2 Advisors

“The bottom line is that we believe the massive tide of low-cost money that lifted all boats and allowed for carefree sailing is receding. Investors who are not prepared for this change may be exposed to significant risks.” - K2 Advisors

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Equity

Keeping One’s Options Open: The Case for Global Convertibles

When the outlook is uncertain, it can be good to keep one’s options open. Alan Muschott, vice president and portfolio manager, Franklin Equity Group, says convertible securities’ ability to adapt to myriad market conditions makes them an attractive vehicle as we head into the uncertainties of the year ahead. He outlines why companies issue convertible securities—and why many investors find them an attractive addition to their portfolios.

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Equity

Shedding Light on the US Utilities Sector

“We see many reasons to be optimistic about [US] utilities today as we look out over the next 10, 20 or 30 years. In our view, most companies have established constructive regulatory relationships and should be able to adjust to the higher cost of capital assumptions that would develop due to rising interest rates.” – John Kohli, Franklin Equity Group