Beyond Bulls & Bears

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Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

"We’ll be watching out for the rhetoric from this week’s EU summit, which we expect to be an important driver for UK market sentiment.” - Franklin Templeton European Trading Desk team

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Equity

Why Macron’s Reform Agenda Is Boosting Business Optimism

“We see signs that France’s economy is starting to improve under President Emmanuel Macron. France is enjoying its best streak of economic growth in more than six years. And, French companies are hiring at the fastest pace in almost 17 years." – Katrina Dudley, portfolio manager, Franklin Mutual Series

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Equity

Brexit and the Difficulty in Forecasting UK Market Fortunes

As we head into year-end, UK Equity team’s Colin Morton explains why making predictions for the UK equity market in 2018 is a particularly challenging task this time around.

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Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Last week, there were some notable moves lower in sectors that had outperformed significantly so far this year. It remains to be seen whether this was simply month-end profit-taking or whether we are seeing the beginning of a more significant unwinding in so-called momentum stocks.- Franklin Templeton European Trading Desk team

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Equity

Is the Energy Sector Starting to Turn?

“Given the current lower-price environment, market volatility and future uncertainty, many investors have perceived oilfield services stocks as too risky. That, in turn, has led to more attractive valuations for these stocks that we believe could be creating attractive investment opportunities.” – Fred Fromm, Franklin Equity Group

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Perspectives

How Technology Has Set Industries on a Journey of Opportunity

"As we look at the race for fully autonomous automobiles, the question of who will get there first—and more importantly who figures out how to commercialise and monetise this technology once they do get there—is still pretty wide open." - James Cross, Robert Rendler and Robert Stevenson, Franklin Equity Group and Aleck Beach, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group

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Equity

Why Europe’s Earnings Rebound Could Offer a Fillip for Active Value Investors

"We see signs that European companies are beginning to return to corporate earnings growth. We expect to see fundamentals reassert themselves at the heart of investment decisions. And against that background, we believe investors with exposure to European equities via a passive approach shift to active strategies.” – Dylan Ball, Templeton Global Equity Group

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Equity

Why Abe’s Victory Could Help Lift Japanese Stocks

“In our view, Abe’s victory could lead to four more years of pro-growth policies and the possibility of a second term for the very ultra-dovish Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda.” – Templeton Global Equity Group’s Cindy Sweeting and Alan Chua

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Equity

Why the Indian Equity Market May Need to Swallow a Bitter Pill

A slew of government reforms may have disrupted the Indian stock market in the short term. However, Sukumar Rajah, managing director and chief investment officer, Asian Equity, believes those reforms and a growing Indian middle class could present opportunities for long-term investors.

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Alternatives

Fourth Quarter Hedge-Fund Strategy Outlook: K2 Advisors

“While we cannot predict market tops or bottoms, we can be prudent in how we position portfolios contextually. Perhaps now is the time to consider dialing back risk to some degree. We believe the easy money in this cycle has already been made.” - K2 Advisors

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Perspectives

Does Macron’s EU Reform Agenda Need German Support?

"Without an eager partner in Germany, I think Macron will face challenges implementing his more radical eurozone reforms. Although there is broad support for unification in the wake of last year’s Brexit vote, some of the EU’s Eastern European partners are using all the brakes to prevent unification. I see it as a long road to reach that goal.” – Philippe Brugere-Trelat, Franklin Mutual Series

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Perspectives

What’s Next for Europe as Merkel Is Re-elected

"We think the level of support for AfD does reflect a protest vote from people who have been unhappy with the direction things have been going in Germany. That could have an influence on Merkel’s approach as she looks past her election victory.” - David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group