Beyond Bulls & Bears

Turbulence ahead
Perspectives

Turbulence ahead

The US Fed just made the biggest interest-rate increase since 1994. Should we be worried? Stephen Dover, Head of Franklin Templeton Institute, discusses the rising risk of a recession.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Global equities sold off hard into the end of last week as inflation and growth fears continued to weigh on sentiment.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

All eyes are on this Thursday’s ECB meeting after last week’s Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) data came ahead of expectations at 8.1%, putting further pressure on the ECB to rein in inflation.

Reasons for optimism in UK equities
Equity

Reasons for optimism in UK equities

Despite concerns about rising interest rates, a growth slowdown and stock market volatility, there are reasons to be optimistic about the outlook for UK equities, according to Martin Currie’s Ben Russon. He shares the latest data counteracting the cost-of-living crisis, trends that exhibit the strength of the UK economy relative to the rest of the world, and where he sees opportunities in the UK stock market.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Franklin Templeton’s Notes from the Trading Desk offers a weekly overview of what our professional traders and analysts are watching in the markets. The European desk is manned by eight professionals based in Edinburgh, Scotland, with an average of 15 years of experience whose job it is to monitor the markets around the world. Their views are theirs alone and are not intended to be construed as investment advice.

PODCAST: Making Sense of the Recent Market Selloffs
Perspectives

PODCAST: Making Sense of the Recent Market Selloffs

Wylie Tollette, Head of Client Investment Solutions with Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions, joins the head of the Franklin Templeton Institute, Stephen Dover, for a conversation on the recent equity market selloff. They discuss why the pendulum has shifted so strongly negative, whether there is any bottom in sight, and where investors looking for diversification could go.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Given recent declines, there is much discussion around what is priced into market. With global markets declining for six consecutive weeks, there is an increasing debate over how much bad news is priced in, and whether markets are now oversold.

The Great Wave of Yen Weakness
Equity

The Great Wave of Yen Weakness

A weaker Japanese yen is thought of as positive for Japanese businesses with a high degree of exports, but it may not necessarily be as beneficial as many think, according to Templeton Global Equity Group.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Last week saw some extreme moves in equity markets as investors digested several central bank announcements, most notably the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday. In Ukraine, the Russian advance in the east made marginal gains, and with no mention of peace talks anymore, a long, drawn-out campaign into the summer seems probable. The impact of this on commodity and food prices is clear.

Peering Around the (Yield) Curve
Multi-Asset

Peering Around the (Yield) Curve

The US Treasury yield curve momentarily inverted. Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions investigates what this implies for recession risk, growth momentum, and equity prices.

PODCAST: Anatomy of a Recession: Why a US Recession is Unlikely Near Term
Perspectives

PODCAST: Anatomy of a Recession: Why a US Recession is Unlikely Near Term

Jeff Schulze, Investment Strategist at ClearBridge Investments and architect of ClearBridge’s Anatomy of a Recession programme, provides his views on why growing fears of a US recession may be overblown, at least near term.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Despite the overall strength last week, stock markets were really at the mercy of the headlines tied to Ukraine, which flip-flopped from one day to the next on the progress of peace talks.