Beyond Bulls & Bears

Peering Around the (Yield) Curve
Multi-Asset

Peering Around the (Yield) Curve

The US Treasury yield curve momentarily inverted. Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions investigates what this implies for recession risk, growth momentum, and equity prices.

Europe Outlook: A French Economic Evolution
Equity

Europe Outlook: A French Economic Evolution

Franklin Mutual Series’ Katrina Dudley sees President Emmanuel Macron’s re-election as a positive for the French economy and regional equity markets over the longer term.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Corporate earnings should continue to dominate attention in the United States and Europe this week, with a significant number of companies reporting. Last week Fedspeak was a market driver, but as we enter the blackout period ahead of the 4 May FOMC meeting, it will be quieter on this front.

PODCAST: Anatomy of a Recession: Why a US Recession is Unlikely Near Term
Perspectives

PODCAST: Anatomy of a Recession: Why a US Recession is Unlikely Near Term

Jeff Schulze, Investment Strategist at ClearBridge Investments and architect of ClearBridge’s Anatomy of a Recession programme, provides his views on why growing fears of a US recession may be overblown, at least near term.

Technology Investing: Volatility, Valuations and Opportunity
Equity

Technology Investing: Volatility, Valuations and Opportunity

Despite increased volatility due to the Russia-Ukraine war and rising interest rates, Franklin Equity Group’s Jonathan Curtis sees compelling opportunities within high-quality technology companies in an increasingly digital world.

Should Investors “Buy the Dip” in a Time of Geopolitical Crisis?
Multi-Asset

Should Investors “Buy the Dip” in a Time of Geopolitical Crisis?

Many market pundits have advocated a strategy of “buying the dip” after significant selloffs, but does it always make sense to do so? Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions’ Gene Podkaminer and Miles Sampson explore market reactions to geopolitical events and caution against celebrating the success of this strategy too soon.

Quick Thoughts: Commodities, Wages and Supply Chains—How Geopolitics Are Reshaping the Global Economy
Perspectives

Quick Thoughts: Commodities, Wages and Supply Chains—How Geopolitics Are Reshaping the Global Economy

The war in Ukraine is shifting the conversation on what a post-COVID-19 world will look like. Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions Head of Research Gene Podkaminer, Brandywine Global’s Director of Global Macro Research Francis Scotland, and Templeton Global Macro’s Chief Investment Officer Dr. Michael Hasenstab join Head of Franklin Templeton Investment Institute Stephen Dover for a discussion on the current investment landscape.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Last week saw lacklustre performance for many equity markets as focus turned to hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve (Fed), COVID-19 concerns in China and uncertainty around the outcome of the French presidential election. In addition, the war in Ukraine continues to grind on with little or no sign of progress in peace talks.

K2 Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook: Second Quarter 2022
Alternatives

K2 Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook: Second Quarter 2022

The Russian invasion of Ukraine has added pressure to the inflationary cycle that began in late 2020. Our K2 Advisors team opines on how hedge fund managers are viewing the situation in its second quarter 2022 outlook. 

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Markets seem to be looking towards a ceasefire in Ukraine. Reports over the rest of the week showed little hope of any imminent de-escalation, with the crisis appearing to deepen in some areas of the country as Russian forces appeared to regroup, especially in the south and east.

Quick Thoughts: Are Central Banks Too Slow to Tackle Inflation?
Fixed Income

Quick Thoughts: Are Central Banks Too Slow to Tackle Inflation?

Are the reserve banks too slow in tackling inflation? Will inflation level off by itself? Will rising rates cause a recession? Stephen Dover, Head of Franklin Templeton Investment Institute, sat down with Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Chief Investment Officer Sonal Desai and Western Asset Portfolio Manager and Research Analyst John Bellows to discuss the investment landscape considering today’s geopolitical and economic challenges.

Fed Pivot Becomes Fed Prayer
Multi-Asset

Fed Pivot Becomes Fed Prayer

The US Federal Reserve is turning increasingly hawkish—hiking rates fast enough to slow inflation while maintaining economic growth will be a monumental task. The Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions team opines on what to expect from the Fed and gauges whether it is already behind the curve.