Beyond Bulls & Bears

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe
Equity

Notes from the Trading Desk – Europe

Given the presence of some temporary factors driving inflation data, the markets are telling us investors are happy to run with the Federal Reserve’s narrative that inflationary pressures are transitory. We see this view reflected across asset classes.

Quick Thoughts: A Very Hot Housing Market Globally
Equity

Quick Thoughts: A Very Hot Housing Market Globally

Quick Thoughts: The Opportunities in Innovation
Equity

Quick Thoughts: The Opportunities in Innovation

Our recent investing in innovation roundtable confirmed that investing in innovation requires intuitive and fundamental knowledge. Matt Moberg, Senior Vice President and Portfolio Manager for Franklin Equity Group, Aram Green, Portfolio Manager and Managing Director for ClearBridge Investments, and Chief Market Strategist and Head of Franklin Templeton Investment Institute discuss areas to find equity market inefficiencies.

Quick Thoughts: Why Our Managers Disagree on Inflation, Rates, and Growth
Perspectives

Quick Thoughts: Why Our Managers Disagree on Inflation, Rates, and Growth

Multiple leadership and diverse views steer how we invest in our global economy. Our recent macroeconomic investment roundtable with three of our autonomous investment managers found commonalities and disagreements on the path for global economic growth. All agreed that global growth will be significant this year, but there is some disagreement as to how persistent it will be. Our Chief Market Strategist Stephen Dover believes when thinking about fixed income investing, it is important to think beyond rising interest rates and focus on the many ways to obtain total return.

On My Mind: A Tale of Two Recoveries
Fixed Income

On My Mind: A Tale of Two Recoveries

While a global recovery has now become the base case for financial markets, differences between countries and regions on the path toward normalcy are significant and seem set to widen. In the latest edition of our Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai’s “On My Mind” series, she evaluates the differences in policy decisions, both on the fiscal front as well as in vaccination campaigns, and how the resulting differing paths will shape the map of investment opportunities.

PODCAST: Anatomy of a Recession: Expecting an Economic Boom
Equity

PODCAST: Anatomy of a Recession: Expecting an Economic Boom

Jeff Schulze, investment strategist at ClearBridge Investments, a specialist investment manager of Franklin Templeton, discusses why expectations for gross domestic product growth in the United States are soaring, how high the 10-year Treasury could rise, and why not to fear inflation long term.

Asia at the Forefront: The World’s Uneven Emergence from COVID-19
Fixed Income

Asia at the Forefront: The World’s Uneven Emergence from COVID-19

There is significant variation in how countries have handled the pandemic, managed fiscal and monetary policy, and supported their economies, according to Templeton Global Macro. While the euro area and the US contend with deepening fiscal deficits and excessive monetary accommodation, areas of Asia are in stronger fiscal shape, with greater growth potential, robust trade dynamics and current account surpluses.

Coming Out of COVID-19: A Look at Interest Rates and Inflation in Europe
Fixed Income

Coming Out of COVID-19: A Look at Interest Rates and Inflation in Europe

There is hope that economies will see a more sustainable and robust recovery this year, given unprecedented levels of monetary and fiscal stimulus and as more individuals are vaccinated against COVID-19. But one question for investors is what happens next—will inflation and higher interest rates be a consequence? Our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn shares his views.

On My Mind – Inflation: The Devil We Knew
Fixed Income

On My Mind – Inflation: The Devil We Knew

Our Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai has been ahead of the curve in flagging the risks of inflation and rising rates that have now entered the mainstream debate. In this article, she assesses the coming together of an unprecedented fiscal stimulus, a very accommodative US Federal Reserve, and an economy poised to rebound as vaccination campaigns pave the way for reopening businesses. She cautions that central bankers might be underestimating how difficult it will be to deal with the 'devil they knew'—inflation—especially if inflation expectations become unmoored; and, she highlights the key fixed income investment implications.

PODCAST: Putting Inflation Concerns in Perspective
Perspectives

PODCAST: Putting Inflation Concerns in Perspective

In our latest "Talking Markets" podcast, Franklin Templeton’s Chief Market Strategist, Stephen Dover, speaks with our Gene Podkaminer, Western Asset’s Mark Lindbloom, and ClearBridge Investments’ Michael Clarfeld about interest rates, deficits, inflation concerns, commodity prices, rising US Treasury yields, and the global rollout of the COVID-19 vaccine.

Quick Thoughts: Real Estate Disruptions Accelerate Active Opportunities
Alternatives

Quick Thoughts: Real Estate Disruptions Accelerate Active Opportunities

Our Head of Equities, Stephen Dover, and Onay Payne, Managing Director at Clarion Partners, believe reshoring supply chains, evolving office space and housing needs, and changing consumption preferences mark COVID-19’s disruptions and acceleration of trends. Commercial real estate can offer diversification, durable income, and leases indexed to inflation, providing opportunities for investors.

Still Looking for Alternatives? How about Real Assets?
Multi-Asset

Still Looking for Alternatives? How about Real Assets?

Ed Perks and Gene Podkaminer of Franklin Templeton's Multi-Asset Solutions team discuss the attractions of alternative assets that can offer natural portfolio diversification. Over a longer-term horizon, they continue to believe global stocks have greater performance potential than global bonds, or alternatives, but this outlook will not be reached along a smooth path.