Beyond Bulls & Bears

A Hard Brexit Would Remove Uncertainty for Markets
Fixed Income

A Hard Brexit Would Remove Uncertainty for Markets

"Two and a half years ago, with all the options for a negotiated Brexit on the table, a Hard Brexit seemed to be the worst-case scenario. Now, markets may feel that it’s preferable to bring an end to the uncertainty and accept the short-term pain." David Zahn, Head of European Fixed Income

PODCAST: Making Sense of Recent Market Action
Perspectives

PODCAST: Making Sense of Recent Market Action

After a turbulent end to 2018, early January brought some relief for equity investors, but there certainly are no shortage of uncertainties about the year ahead. Three of our senior investment leaders recently participated in panel discussion about what they see affecting investor sentiment, how they think changes in monetary policy are influencing market action and why they don’t see a US recession this year.  

Who’s Who in the ETF Ecosystem
LibertyShares

Who’s Who in the ETF Ecosystem

Jason Xavier, head of EMEA ETF Capital Markets at Franklin Templeton Investments, offers a simple explanation of what each role plays in ETF trading.

A Dovish Fed Rate Hike
Fixed Income

A Dovish Fed Rate Hike

The US Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the fourth time this year, but with critics starting to question the central bank’s actions, will it take a tightening pause in 2019? Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group's Michael Materasso weighs in.

Theresa May Holds on, but What Does This Mean for Investors?
Fixed Income

Theresa May Holds on, but What Does This Mean for Investors?

Theresa May has survived a leadership challenge called by Eurosceptic members of her own party and will continue to lead the United Kingdom as it heads towards Brexit. But David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group’s head of European Fixed Income, warns May’s troubles are not over yet. He predicts further volatility ahead for financial markets, but argues there may be opportunities for shrewd active managers.

Distortion, Divergence and Diversification: 2019 Global Investment Outlook
Perspectives

Distortion, Divergence and Diversification: 2019 Global Investment Outlook

Volatility has plagued equity markets globally in 2018—most notably emerging markets and US equity markets. As the US economic expansion officially crossed the nine-year mark in 2018, many investors started to wonder when the cycle would change—and what the catalyst might be. Our senior investment leaders see plenty of reasons to be optimistic about the year ahead, but recognise investment opportunities may be more divergent, with some previously overlooked countries or asset classes potentially taking the spotlight.

Back from the Road Again: Five Things We Learnt from Our European Roadshow
Fixed Income

Back from the Road Again: Five Things We Learnt from Our European Roadshow

On a recent European roadshow, David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s head of European Fixed Income, had the chance to meet investors from Germany, France, Italy and Spain. In this article, he sets out some of his takeaway messages from the trip, including a couple of surprises.

Theresa May’s Brexit Steeplechase Has Only Just Begun: An Investor’s Perspective
Alternatives

Theresa May’s Brexit Steeplechase Has Only Just Begun: An Investor’s Perspective

UK Prime Minister Theresa May seemed to have cleared the first hurdle in her bid to secure a soft Brexit. Her Cabinet initially backed the withdrawal deal UK and European Union negotiators have agreed to. But subsequently a number of cabinet members resigned. David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s head of European Fixed Income, warns her most difficult challenge now lies ahead. And he believes there remain plenty of obstacles in her path, with profound implications for investors.

How Angela Merkel’s Future Could Influence European Markets
Fixed Income

How Angela Merkel’s Future Could Influence European Markets

Markets have largely brushed off speculation about the future of German Chancellor Angela Merkel as she stood down as leader of the Christian Democratic Union party. However, our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn believes her decision could have ramifications, both politically and economically, in the not-so-distant future.

A Global Macro Perspective: Populism, Trade and Emerging-Market Volatility
Fixed Income

A Global Macro Perspective: Populism, Trade and Emerging-Market Volatility

Templeton Global Macro Chief Investment Officer Dr. Michael Hasenstab and Vice President and Deputy Director of Research, Dr. Calvin Ho, discuss emerging-market turbulence, the persistent concerns around trade policy and divergent growth trends in the developed world.

The US Yield Curve: Should We Fear Inversion?
Fixed Income

The US Yield Curve: Should We Fear Inversion?

There has been a lot of talk this year about the flattening of the US yield curve—which is a graphical representation of the spread between short- and long-term interest-rate instruments. Our senior investment leaders make a case that the “predictive power” of the yield curve when it comes to the US economy may not really be so predictive this time around.

Global Economic Perspective: October
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: October

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, our Fixed Income Group discusses whether optimism about the US economy is justified, and whether Italy’s budget talks could lead to looser fiscal policy elsewhere in the eurozone.