Beyond Bulls & Bears

A Look at the UK’s Post-Election Scenarios
Fixed Income

A Look at the UK’s Post-Election Scenarios

The UK general election campaign is entering its final stages. Opinion polls and market sentiment suggest the Conservatives could be on course for victory, but the result is far from being a foregone conclusion. Our Head of European Fixed Income, David Zahn, examines some of the possible scenarios and considers how financial markets might react.

Gilts Under the Microscope as the UK Heads Back to the Polls
Fixed Income

Gilts Under the Microscope as the UK Heads Back to the Polls

As the United Kingdom heads back to the polls, our David Zahn offers some thoughts on the implications for investors.

Four-Dimensional Chess
Fixed Income

Four-Dimensional Chess

Data science has brought investors powerful new tools to help generate returns, so is there still need for a human touch? Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai weighs in on the role of quantitative science within the active-passive investment debate.

Templeton Global Macro: An Update on our ESG Scores
Fixed Income

Templeton Global Macro: An Update on our ESG Scores

Templeton Global Macro evaluates environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors in its macroeconomic research process and describes the process of codifying the team’s research discussions into quantifiable scores.

Brexit: Not the Beginning of the End, But the End of the Beginning?
Fixed Income

Brexit: Not the Beginning of the End, But the End of the Beginning?

Against the odds, Boris Johnson’s UK government appears to have agreed to a deal in principle with the European Union (EU) which could see the United Kingdom leave the EU on October 31 in an orderly way. But David Zahn, our Head of European Fixed Income, cautions against popping the champagne corks too prematurely. There’s still a lot of work to be done, and financial market volatility is likely to remain heightened, he says.

The Four Pillars to Face a World of Uncertainty
Fixed Income

The Four Pillars to Face a World of Uncertainty

Global investors are facing extraordinary economic, political and financial market conditions that risk sending the world into a perilous period, according to Templeton Global Macro CIO Michael Hasenstab. He explains why he and his team see these conditions as an opportunity, and outlines the “four pillars” behind their strategy to cope with them.

Staying Nimble Amid an Uncertain Outlook
Perspectives

Staying Nimble Amid an Uncertain Outlook

Bouts of volatility hit markets across the globe in the third quarter of 2019 amid continued uncertainties about global growth and trade. Central banks took notice, with the US Federal Reserve easing interest rates for the first time in more than a decade and the European Central Bank also cutting rates and reintroducing quantitative easing. Against this backdrop, our senior investment leaders discuss why they do not see a recession in the near term, but are taking a cautious and nimble approach.

The Fed Calls Time for a Reality Check
Fixed Income

The Fed Calls Time for a Reality Check

The US Federal Reserve cut its benchmark short-term interest rate for the second time this year, but some observers were disappointed the Fed didn’t more strongly signal future easing moves. Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai shares her thoughts on why the central bank needed to rein in expectations a bit.

European Political Developments: A Lesson in Unexpected Consequences
Fixed Income

European Political Developments: A Lesson in Unexpected Consequences

Even the most dedicated news-junkie may struggle to keep up with the pace of political shenanigans in Europe in recent weeks. Two countries in which the news has been especially fast-moving are Italy and the United Kingdom. Our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn notes some peculiar similarities in the way events have unfolded.

Pinpointing Fixed Income Credit Risks
Fixed Income

Pinpointing Fixed Income Credit Risks

In this excerpt from the latest Franklin Templeton Thinks, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group examines how machine learning techniques can measure the risks of consumer and home loans—helping pinpoint credit risks they think are worth taking. They review digital loans, a relatively new asset class, and explain why quantitative approaches may be more applicable to some fixed income sectors than others.

What We Think Could Drive European Markets in the Coming Months
Fixed Income

What We Think Could Drive European Markets in the Coming Months

As European investors and market practitioners return from their summer vacations and prepare for the final third of 2019, our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn highlights the issues he thinks will drive markets in the coming months.

Why European Fixed Income Can Still Have Value Even with Negative Yield
Fixed Income

Why European Fixed Income Can Still Have Value Even with Negative Yield

“We believe that with the combination of an expected ECB rate cut in September and a positively shaped yield curve, European bonds could still remain attractive in global terms.” - John Beck, Director Fixed Income, London, Franklin Templeton