Beyond Bulls & Bears

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Fixed Income

Cautious European Fixed Income Investors May be Sacrificing Yield

Our “Fixed Income Investor Attitudes, Concerns and Actions 2018” survey shows European fixed income investors are still a cautious bunch a decade out from the global financial crisis. Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group’s David Zahn explores why he thinks it might be time to put fears about market volatility aside.

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Fixed Income

An Unconventional New Government in Italy

“Although we think that fears about the League/Five Star coalition’s euro scepticism are over-played, we recognise there could be tensions between Rome and Brussels in particular over the new government’s spending plans.” – David Zahn, head of European Fixed Income.

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Multi-Asset

Will the Roar of Market Tensions Tame Global Growth?

The first quarter of 2018 started out like a lamb but went out like a lion as long-dormant volatility began to roar. Issues like inflation fears, trade tensions and geopolitical risks contributed to market turbulence, leaving many investors wondering whether these issues will put a damper on global growth—and end the US market’s nine-year bull run. Three of Franklin Templeton’s senior investment leaders—Stephen Dover, Christopher Molumphy and Ed Perks—weigh in.

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Fixed Income

Australia: Caught in the Middle of US-China Trade Tensions?

Franklin Templeton’s Managing Director of Australian Fixed Income, Chris Siniakov, shares his view on why a potential US-China trade war could negatively impact Australia’s education and tourism industries. That said, he’s not alarmed by recent trade headlines—at least not yet.

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Fixed Income

US 10-Year Treasury Crosses 3%: Much Ado About Nothing?

On April 24, the US 10-year Treasury yield crossed the 3% threshold for the first time in four years, prompting much discussion about the potential implications for the US economy. But to reference a famous Shakespeare play, is all the media focus much ado about nothing? Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group’s Michael Materasso says investors shouldn’t fret too much about the number.

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Perspectives

The Disruption of Money

While speculators have been flocking to virtual currencies with intense fervour, professional investors have largely taken a more cautious approach. Roger Bayston, senior vice president, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group; Austin Trombley, vice president and data scientist, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group; and Anthony Hardy, research analyst with Franklin Equity Group, recently took part in a panel discussion on the topic. They discuss how digital currencies work, how blockchain technology has the potential to impact many facets of our lives, and how they feel about the investment case for this rapidly changing space.

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Fixed Income

Who Said the Rules of the Game Could Change Because LIBOR’s Going Away?

There’s been a lot of discussion in the fixed income world about the end of the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) and what might replace it. But what hasn’t been as widely discussed is an important consequence for investors in this space: changes to LIBOR language in new-issue and amended credit agreements—particularly how these changes are implemented. Mark Boyadjian, director of our Floating Rate Debt Group, and Reema Agarwal, vice president and director of research, explain.

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Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: April

“The extent to which the global economy’s upturn is threatened by the uncertainty over trade policy is clearly the main issue preoccupying many investors. Our view is that market sentiment often swings to extremes in these circumstances, running well ahead of actual events, and the risk of a major disruption to global trade remains low.” - Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group

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Perspectives

Brexit: The Countdown Begins

Our Dylan Ball and David Zahn share what they’re watching in European equity and fixed income markets as the one-year countdown to Brexit begins.

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Perspectives

Artificial Intelligence: Real Influence

Franklin Templeton's investment leaders weigh in on why new technologies can influence more than just a single industry or sector.

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Fixed Income

Fed Remains in Tightening Mode in March

The US Federal Reserve remained in tightening mode at its March monetary policy meeting, raising its benchmark interest rate for the sixth time since December 2015. Chris Molumphy, chief investment officer, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group, offers his take on the market implications—and why he feels it’s more important for investors to focus on the US economy’s (healthy) fundamentals rather than the exact number of rate increases this year.

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Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: March

Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group covers US trade worries, potential removal of presidential term limits in China, the Italian election aftermath and more in this month's Global Economic Perspective.